Frankly, "Russia blew up its own pipeline because the regime said so" is the biggest NPC move.
Doesn't matter that it was shut off. Hell, that proves the Russian case. Why blow up a pipeline when you've already closed it off? The smart thing to do is to use it for leverage, which is what the Americans feared, and which is why they blew up European critical infrastructure... in order to make peace between Germany and Russia impossible, and in order to continue selling their garbage, overpriced LNG to us.
There was no winter shortage because it was the warmest winter for a very long time. So you got very lucky, or even your slavish German vassals would have become uncomfortable.
Why blow up a pipeline when you've already closed it off?
I answered that question at length in my comment. Did you read it?
The smart thing to do is to use it for leverage
It had no leverage since the Germans had already switched their natural gas purchases to other sources and filled their stockpiles for the winter, meaning they'd have no reason to even want to buy any Russian gas. But I repeat myself.
which is what the Americans feared, and which is why they blew up European critical infrastructure... in order to make peace between Germany and Russia impossible, and in order to continue selling their garbage, overpriced LNG to us.
Nope. America did not "fear" anything. Russia already had lost all its leverage. There was a small chance that Germany might go begging to Russia for natural gas in the Summer when shortages were feared. Russia had leverage then. Germany made its choice in August/September when it filled its stockpiles at high prices from other sources, choosing short term financial pain (easily absorbed for a rich economy) to cut off Russia totally.
When Russia blew up its pipelines at the end of September, it had already been clear for some time that they were worthless.
There would be no reason for the US to blow up the pipeline in late Sept. If your theory were true, the US would have blown up the pipeline in early summer or sooner to force Germany's hand and take begging to Russia off the table. That's not what happened. The timing cuts strongly against your argument.
There was no winter shortage because it was the warmest winter for a very long time.
False. German stockpiles were sufficient to get through the winter even if it was worse than usual. Source
The mild winter has meant that stockpiles were barely affected. Current stockpile is 76.26%. Projections for this week ranged from 37% to 60%, with even the "worst case" 37% scenario never falling below 10% at its nadir in April. Instead we are at 76.26%, far higher than even the "high conservation, no export" scenarios. In other words, all the mild winter did was take an already-solved problem and render it overkill.
I answered that question at length in my comment. Did you read it?
Read and refuted!
America did not "fear" anything. Russia already had lost all its leverage.
No one cares about a corrupt puppet shithole non-country. That's the honest truth. The only reason Germany pretends to care, is because Germany is not a sovereign country. Left to its own devices, there would be a rapprochement between Russia and Germany, because it's in both these countries's interests.
If your theory were true, the US would have blown up the pipeline in early summer or sooner to force Germany's hand and take begging to Russia off the table.
Yes, right before winter.
Unfortunately, you are one of those people who think "my country, right or wrong" - even when your country is ruled by some of the most despicable, criminal people on the planet.
False. German stockpiles were sufficient to get through the winter even if it was worse than usual. Source
That was always wishful thinking on your part. And even when it became clear the winter was much warmer than normal, there were alarm bells about the gas supplies not lasting.
Instead we are at 76.26%, far higher than even the "high conservation, no export" scenarios. In other words, all the mild winter did was take an already-solved problem and render it overkill.
?
This makes little sense. How exactly did you establish the supposedly small contribution of a record warm winter?
Frankly, "Russia blew up its own pipeline because the regime said so" is the biggest NPC move.
Doesn't matter that it was shut off. Hell, that proves the Russian case. Why blow up a pipeline when you've already closed it off? The smart thing to do is to use it for leverage, which is what the Americans feared, and which is why they blew up European critical infrastructure... in order to make peace between Germany and Russia impossible, and in order to continue selling their garbage, overpriced LNG to us.
There was no winter shortage because it was the warmest winter for a very long time. So you got very lucky, or even your slavish German vassals would have become uncomfortable.
I answered that question at length in my comment. Did you read it?
It had no leverage since the Germans had already switched their natural gas purchases to other sources and filled their stockpiles for the winter, meaning they'd have no reason to even want to buy any Russian gas. But I repeat myself.
Nope. America did not "fear" anything. Russia already had lost all its leverage. There was a small chance that Germany might go begging to Russia for natural gas in the Summer when shortages were feared. Russia had leverage then. Germany made its choice in August/September when it filled its stockpiles at high prices from other sources, choosing short term financial pain (easily absorbed for a rich economy) to cut off Russia totally.
When Russia blew up its pipelines at the end of September, it had already been clear for some time that they were worthless.
There would be no reason for the US to blow up the pipeline in late Sept. If your theory were true, the US would have blown up the pipeline in early summer or sooner to force Germany's hand and take begging to Russia off the table. That's not what happened. The timing cuts strongly against your argument.
False. German stockpiles were sufficient to get through the winter even if it was worse than usual. Source
The mild winter has meant that stockpiles were barely affected. Current stockpile is 76.26%. Projections for this week ranged from 37% to 60%, with even the "worst case" 37% scenario never falling below 10% at its nadir in April. Instead we are at 76.26%, far higher than even the "high conservation, no export" scenarios. In other words, all the mild winter did was take an already-solved problem and render it overkill.
Read and refuted!
No one cares about a corrupt puppet shithole non-country. That's the honest truth. The only reason Germany pretends to care, is because Germany is not a sovereign country. Left to its own devices, there would be a rapprochement between Russia and Germany, because it's in both these countries's interests.
Yes, right before winter.
Unfortunately, you are one of those people who think "my country, right or wrong" - even when your country is ruled by some of the most despicable, criminal people on the planet.
That was always wishful thinking on your part. And even when it became clear the winter was much warmer than normal, there were alarm bells about the gas supplies not lasting.
?
This makes little sense. How exactly did you establish the supposedly small contribution of a record warm winter?
Funny thing about shutting a pipeline off (using the stick) is that the option to open it back up turns it into a carrot.