Looks like Trump will be running as a "moderate" on the issue of abortion in 2024.
I am actually shocked that he is doing this since he is the man who can rightfully brag that he appointed the judges that finally overturned Roe v. Wade.
I don't know how well this works for him overall. Might even hurt him with real social conservative voters a bit while slightly helping him with swing voters.
My guess is that this move helps him slightly in the general election for 2024 and slightly hurts him in the Republican primary.
Abortion actually isn't that big of an issue until you do shit that most people really disagree with. Full bans aren't tolerated (even Oklahoma showed this), and full acceptance showed this (in that 9 month abortions are opposed by over 80% of the population).
He's basically trying to win over women (via mothers), since it's a demographic that's kind of alluded him right up until CRT and Transgendrism in schools.
Most mothers don't get abortions, but they're also not prepared to criminalize it.
"Leave it to the states" is the best choice because he always gets to defer to whatever the Republicans in those states can actually pass without taking a hard stance.
There's a reason why people are saying that McConnel was trying to throw the Senate to Democrats by pushing a federal abortion ban: everyone knows that full bans are unpopular except to very strong religious conservatives.
Strong religious conservatives are a key part of the Republican base hence why certain states like Texas and Oklahoma ended up passing some restrictive abortion laws since they were afraid of being primaried out.
Since this is a midterm year with a despised Dem in the WH and with gun grabber Beto running, I am not worried about my state Texas staying red.
You are right that full bans/extremely restrictive abortions laws and no abortion restrictions at all are both very unpopular.
I personally believe abortion is murder so I support the full bans.
I however understand that my personal abortion stance is sadly electoral suicide.
Andrew Breitbart did say that politics is downstream of culture.
It has been hard for the right to win the culture war ever since the left took control of all the major institutions.
Good news is that as the major institutions continue to destroy their credibility and hopefully completely implode, any parallel institutions newly built by the right can help turn the tide.
Bragging about nominations that overturned Roe vs Wade sounds perfecly in line with saying ''leave it up to the states, and here is what my own moral limits on this difficult question''.
I am actually shocked that he is doing this since he is the man who can rightfully brag that he appointed the judges that finally overturned Roe v. Wade.
Why? That means his name is golden for social conservatives. You expected him to go all-in with "yeah, love the rape baby, girl"?
I don't know how well this works for him overall. Might even hurt him with real social conservative voters a bit while slightly helping him with swing voters.
I think nothing he does will either help or hurt him. It's all baked into the cake. That said, some polsci types have claimed that Trump won in 2016 because he dumped some very unpopular GOP economic policies.
Looks like Trump will be running as a "moderate" on the issue of abortion in 2024.
I am actually shocked that he is doing this since he is the man who can rightfully brag that he appointed the judges that finally overturned Roe v. Wade.
I don't know how well this works for him overall. Might even hurt him with real social conservative voters a bit while slightly helping him with swing voters.
My guess is that this move helps him slightly in the general election for 2024 and slightly hurts him in the Republican primary.
Abortion actually isn't that big of an issue until you do shit that most people really disagree with. Full bans aren't tolerated (even Oklahoma showed this), and full acceptance showed this (in that 9 month abortions are opposed by over 80% of the population).
He's basically trying to win over women (via mothers), since it's a demographic that's kind of alluded him right up until CRT and Transgendrism in schools.
Most mothers don't get abortions, but they're also not prepared to criminalize it.
"Leave it to the states" is the best choice because he always gets to defer to whatever the Republicans in those states can actually pass without taking a hard stance.
There's a reason why people are saying that McConnel was trying to throw the Senate to Democrats by pushing a federal abortion ban: everyone knows that full bans are unpopular except to very strong religious conservatives.
Strong religious conservatives are a key part of the Republican base hence why certain states like Texas and Oklahoma ended up passing some restrictive abortion laws since they were afraid of being primaried out.
Since this is a midterm year with a despised Dem in the WH and with gun grabber Beto running, I am not worried about my state Texas staying red.
You are right that full bans/extremely restrictive abortions laws and no abortion restrictions at all are both very unpopular.
I personally believe abortion is murder so I support the full bans.
I however understand that my personal abortion stance is sadly electoral suicide.
Truth is: you always have to win the culture war first, not elections.
Andrew Breitbart did say that politics is downstream of culture.
It has been hard for the right to win the culture war ever since the left took control of all the major institutions.
Good news is that as the major institutions continue to destroy their credibility and hopefully completely implode, any parallel institutions newly built by the right can help turn the tide.
Bragging about nominations that overturned Roe vs Wade sounds perfecly in line with saying ''leave it up to the states, and here is what my own moral limits on this difficult question''.
Why? That means his name is golden for social conservatives. You expected him to go all-in with "yeah, love the rape baby, girl"?
I think nothing he does will either help or hurt him. It's all baked into the cake. That said, some polsci types have claimed that Trump won in 2016 because he dumped some very unpopular GOP economic policies.