Russia seems to have more casualties then I expected

I have not seen any reliable information on that.

Can Ukraine defeat Putin?

At best, they can hold out.

Win or lose. what will be the consequence for the globohomo agenda?

If he loses, in that he has to withdraw without any concessions from Ukraine, I think it will fatally discredit the system in Russia and lead to a collapse. So expect the Western regime to be even more brutal against its own citizens, with the disappearance of one of its rivals.

If he wins, he will have dealt the regime a bloody nose.