They have the capacity, but that would be an unconditional failure. If the CCP nukes Taiwan during an expansionist war they started, not only do they not achieve their strategic goal of capturing Taiwan and reuniting China under their boot, it means that everyone in the world has a free pass and a duty to nuke the CCP back.
It's kinda sad we have to actually explain this sort of stuff to youngsters now, ain't it?
Like, they've never actually sat down and thought about the implications of being able to casually obliterate an opponent and how that capacity isn't really all it's cracked up to be.
I take your reducto ad nukem as an admission that, on reflection, yes, an amphibious assault against a modern enemy with enormous quantities of guided weaponry would be a slaughter. I just wish you were TI1.
Does the PRC have nukes? Would the PRC nuke the RoC?
They have the capacity, but that would be an unconditional failure. If the CCP nukes Taiwan during an expansionist war they started, not only do they not achieve their strategic goal of capturing Taiwan and reuniting China under their boot, it means that everyone in the world has a free pass and a duty to nuke the CCP back.
It's kinda sad we have to actually explain this sort of stuff to youngsters now, ain't it?
Like, they've never actually sat down and thought about the implications of being able to casually obliterate an opponent and how that capacity isn't really all it's cracked up to be.
You can, but what warrants it?
I doubt it. They might threaten to, but it would kind of defeat the purpose of conquering them.
I take your reducto ad nukem as an admission that, on reflection, yes, an amphibious assault against a modern enemy with enormous quantities of guided weaponry would be a slaughter. I just wish you were TI1.
I see it as a slaughter yes. Without heavy ordinance (nukes), land invasions from the sea are doomed to fail.