As far as I can tell, this is the first time that's happened without going down for server maintenance. It dropped all the way to 8,664 about 5 hours ago.
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Well yes as it also roughly predicts how high the daily peak will be. As of this moment, it hasn't even hit 20K CCU.
Remember, season 2 isn't out for another few months. With the rate Marathon has been declining, there will likely be no audience for a season 2.