Based on statistical distribution, there are undoubtedly many trans that can pass the visual test.

They are probably naturally effeminate men, still young, probably a lot of surgery involved, well practiced at changing their voice, etc.

The tests they can’t pass are age, genetics, and close inspection.

The older any trans gets the harder it is for them to disguise themselves.

And 100% of men who pretend to be women will always be generically male. Genes don’t lie.

Then once you get close, you’ll definitely notice things. Uncanny valley kind of things. Thinning balding hair. 5 o’clock shadow. Adam’s apple. Broad shoulders. Narrow hips. And no amount of surgery will perfectly mimic a woman’s vagina.

And not a single man who pretends they are women can ever produce an egg in order to get pregnant.