South Korean president is attempting a coup d'etat
(www.reuters.com)
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Given that South Korea is the THIRD largest supplier of weapons to NATO (far behind the US but just behind France) they actually do have a solid manufacturing base in place.
Plus they tend to place factories inside client countries so tanks, weapons etc can be made there but also means if THEIR manufacturing is hit in a war with the North, they can have a bunch of equipment that is to spec sent to them from safe areas.
I didn't say they didn't.
I said they don't match up to their old enemy. I also implied that they're a highly feminized and pampered society that isn't genuinely able to endure the hardships of war.
In that way they're a lot like Europe. Fat and drunk on peace.
Actually they're in a much worse state than Europe. Because if as you say their manufacturing base is elsewhere, then they're utterly doomed. Because the Chinese won't sit idly by if a fight breaks out. They'll declare a sea blockade for arms embargo and sit there and dare the US to do something about it.
And we won't. Because if the shit kicking Houthis drove off our navy then we certainly aren't in a position to contest the chinks for control of an area in their backyard.
Yeah, problem is that's working off the CURRENT paradigm, that only lasts another one and a half months.
Notice how China changed tone with Trump announced back in as president and you seem to be working off the NORTH attacking first since if the South just straight up bombs the hell out of a lot of stuff stationed on the border that might tilt things a bit. The South has a ton of manufacturing at home but additionally have manufacturing outside their country too so you can't shut it all down.
Personal take, a lot of these regimes like North Korea and some extent Russia and China prefer stability and if North Korea can do a deal with Trump to make sure they stay in charge but not a target, they'll take it given the constant food issues they have.
And judging by North Korean soldiers in Ukraine, they're not exactly commandos...
I'm not working off any such thing.
I'm entertaining possibilities in the face of shifting current events. The world stands on the brink of a new world war, after all. Sizing up the players is hardly a bad idea.
And the various parties and vassal states of clown world aren't looking good.
Personally I'd say that what's going on right now in SK is a preemptive strike against a color revolution. But it's still developing events.
Well, the situation we're talking about is unfolding right now, and coups tend to move fast one way or another. What other paradigm would be relevant?