Time to shit post without shills.
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You bring up an underrated point. A lot of people think the first day of WWIII is going to be when a nuke goes off or tens of thousands of troops engage in hundreds of skirmishes over dozens of countries all at once. The reality is the first day could be a small battle followed by weeks or even months of calm before things really ramp up.
Similar to how Vietnam war started slowly with sending aids to assist the French and I guess the roots of WW2 lie at the end of WW1
If we disregard the Marco Polo bridge incident, the official start of World War II is September 1 with the German invasion of Poland. At the time, only 2 countries were at war (UK and France only declared war in September 3). In the months afterwards, absolutely nothing happened - the Sitzkrieg (sitting war).
If the NATO war on Russia becomes a world war, then 22 February 2022 will retroactively be the start of World War III. In fact, on Wikipedia they've already rewritten history for the war between Russia and Ukraine to start in 2014.
I feel like the CIA coup of Ukraine in 2014 will be regarded as either the start or the equivalent of the Spanish Civil War.