In the wake of Trump’s motorcade driving through the Atlanta ghetto - in order to film a few black people cheering for a conservative - we’re once again seeing a bunch of conservative talking heads rehash the same tired bullshit about blacks waking up to the corruption and degeneracy of the left. These pundits are claiming that black support for Trump is now at 20% and climbing!
Nonsense. The reality is that we have a cottage industry of black content creators, influencers, and reactors who promote conservatism not for a black audience but rather for a white conservative audience. Because white conservatives are absolutely terrified of being labeled racist, so black creators are ready to cash in with content that serves that demographic.
Blacks are never going to support republicans.
Because of the overall problem of the Democrat's coalition of votes.
The reason the Democrats are whining about racism and white supremacy is because they lost the white vote. They try to make it sound like a sudden rise of white supremacy, but the truth is that the Democrats have been bleeding white voters since 1964 because of Goldwater, and when they started abandoning the white working class, they made it nearly irreparable. Democrats can't get much more than 30% of the white vote, and most of those are going to be progressive elites, the managerial class, and default Leftists. In total votes, it means white voters barely make up 45% of all Democratic votes. Worse, Trump keeps gaining more and more white voters, even "out-of-the-woodwork" white voters who never voted before.
As a result, the black vote is do or fucking die. Black votes nearly rival that of white votes among Democrats, and even hispanic votes are a distant third.
The uncomfortable truth of the Democrats is that without white voters, they are utterly dependent on absolute voting blocks. Polarization is mandatory for their survival, or they'd be bowled the fuck over electorally. They need every fucking young person they can get to vote Democrat, because as people age, they push right. They need every hispanic they can get their hands on, by hook, crook, or caravan. They also need every black person in America to vote Democrat. Not some, almost all of them. To be clear: if the black vote turned out 70% Democrat and nothing else changed; Republicans would win an electoral landslide, and create a Republican Solid South. You can test this on any vote calculator you would like. Think about it: blacks are only 12% of the population, but represent almost 30-40% of all Democratic votes cast. If you're depending on that to support almost the entirety of your election, you're utterly dependent upon that demographic for political survival. Trump is striking at a keystone for political control by hitting at black voters. Especially if he wants to take North Carolina, Virginia, Georgia, and Florida.
Actually, I think Democrats have been bleeding white voters since the 1930s. That 1964 meme is part of the 'party switch' meme.
This is also not borne out by longitudinal studies. People actually become more left as they age, at least on the bad stuff, which is a most terrifying prospect. Let's hope those studies are as fake as the rest of them.
Nice idea, but it's not working, so it's a waste of time and effort.
Don't write blacks off, but pandering without end when it has no effect is also a bad idea. Instead, engage in low-level, low-cost efforts, like radio ads, describing how bad Dems are for blacks.
That's too far back, FDR had a one party state in the 1940's. It's more fair to say they've been slowly loosing FDR's regime of control since Eisenhower, then LBJ propped it up with a new coalition between unions and minorities in 1964, then they suffered a terrible collapse even while destroying Nixon, and only managed to hold on with a right-ward shift under Clinton, and subversive efforts under Obama. They are now in yet another crisis.
I've seen no study that reflects this.
I don't see it as a waste of time, it's just one aspect of a larger strategy that has to be hit from many angles. Undermining the black voting block weakens the cities. Hell, if the Dems do start more race riots, (as I said in 2020), Trump needs to do what Nixon did in 1968. American blacks are the primary victims of crime, and we have seen that they are also anti-illegal immigrant at many levels.