Do you think they'll take the chance of waiting for the next US presidential election?
This is the end of a big window for them, so no-- I think they want to invade with Biden pooping in the big seat. I think they want the US to overcommit in Ukraine before going in. That's a short term wait, while they watch for any mistakes by Biden.
I get the feeling if the US commits in Ukraine, Taiwan gets invaded.
Piggybacking off the original question, do you think anything changes if Biden goes down before 2024 and Harris has to take over? Or is it mainly an issue of the commitment to Ukraine/other conflicts?
Also nukes. That precludes an invasion of the mainland by anyone.
Do you think they'll take the chance of waiting for the next US presidential election?
This is the end of a big window for them, so no-- I think they want to invade with Biden pooping in the big seat. I think they want the US to overcommit in Ukraine before going in. That's a short term wait, while they watch for any mistakes by Biden.
I get the feeling if the US commits in Ukraine, Taiwan gets invaded.
Piggybacking off the original question, do you think anything changes if Biden goes down before 2024 and Harris has to take over? Or is it mainly an issue of the commitment to Ukraine/other conflicts?
China is not going to fear a black female President. Their plans probably wouldn't change very much