...shows that "high numeracy" Republicans were spot on whereas the same smart Democrats were almost as far off (20%-49% hospitalization) as the total Fox News / CNN / MSNBC clods.
I'm sure it is less than 1%, but we don't have data to support any answer, really.
For example, the 0.89% unvaccinated hospitalization rate they claim in that article would include people who got sick and hospitalized before they knew COVID was a thing, and the vaccinated rate would not.
The most at risk elderly who died all would fall into the unvaccinated group, because that all happened before the vaccine was released.
Either way, to calculate the actual rate you'd need to know numbers for how many people caught it, and that's un-knowable.
nah, it's a bounding problem. hospitalization rate is just hospitalizations divided by infections.
hospitalizations number is known.
infections number, we know the lower bound, and it's likely substantially higher.
the known infections number is high enough that hospitalization rate is <1%. the likely infections is substantially higher, which would mean the hospitalization rate is only lower inside that bound, meaning <0.1% or something.
this was a bastardized version from NYT after the original from gallup made dems look so bad. they ran it themselves, and still look fucking retarded.
it's not even accurate. the hospitalization rate is not 1-5%. it's <1%.
https://news.gallup.com/opinion/gallup/354938/adults-estimates-covid-hospitalization-risk.aspx
Yes but in media speak, they included 1% in the range! /s.
It's the same if they were to claim 1-25%.
Better than either NYT or recent Gallup is from a year ago:
https://www.brookings.edu/research/how-misinformation-is-distorting-covid-policies-and-behaviors/
...shows that "high numeracy" Republicans were spot on whereas the same smart Democrats were almost as far off (20%-49% hospitalization) as the total Fox News / CNN / MSNBC clods.
I'm sure it is less than 1%, but we don't have data to support any answer, really.
For example, the 0.89% unvaccinated hospitalization rate they claim in that article would include people who got sick and hospitalized before they knew COVID was a thing, and the vaccinated rate would not.
The most at risk elderly who died all would fall into the unvaccinated group, because that all happened before the vaccine was released.
Either way, to calculate the actual rate you'd need to know numbers for how many people caught it, and that's un-knowable.
nah, it's a bounding problem. hospitalization rate is just hospitalizations divided by infections.
hospitalizations number is known.
infections number, we know the lower bound, and it's likely substantially higher.
the known infections number is high enough that hospitalization rate is <1%. the likely infections is substantially higher, which would mean the hospitalization rate is only lower inside that bound, meaning <0.1% or something.