I doubt Trump will save anything he had his chance
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This is an interesting take.
I thought about your angle before.
Yet I fear this will not come to pass due to the emergence of cultural Democrat voters.
Critical race theory brainwashing in academia, in the media and in HR departments have created a large inelastic subset of voters who vote for Democrats no matter what is happening in terms of policy since being a Democrat has become a cultural identity for them.
Look at what happened in Minnesota in 2020, I thought the BLM riots would cause a swing to the right in suburbs but instead there was a swing to the left. That was shocking to me because people didn't walk away from the left even after they condoned and promoted riots that caused millions of dollars of damage.
I really want you to be right and I hope am conclusively proven wrong in 2024.
Are a minority, and not a new minority. There has always been a FAR left, and frankly the faaaar left today isn't growing like it was decades ago. The trouble the left has is that while they keep preaching that demographics is destiny, the reality is that some people grow out of leftism as they reach middle age, but the reverse is very rare.
There are many "democrats", specifically older democrats, who quietly abandon most of their liberal ideas as they become successful and have more to lose. For these voters, they are not "cultural democrats" to use your word. IME they generally have one or two specific issues on which they refuse to compromise, but otherwise they just want their 401k to keep growing.
These are the people that decide elections. They split over Trump vs Hillary. They went for Biden over Trump because they believed appeasement would work on the mob.
When appeasement fails, and we know it will because it already has...
They'll reach for the candidate who seems the most likely to go Karlis Ulmanis on the hooligans in the streets.
YOUR mistake is thinking that they would reach for the stick first. Republicans do this, yes, but the moderate democrats won't. They won't hop the fence UNTIL they've been shown that voting for their side doesn't work. THEN they vote for the stick.
You don't get Reagan without Carter.
It all boils down to whether the "progressives" are just a small group of the overall voter pool and if the moderate Democrats are elastic or inelastic in response to violence in the streets.
We differ on two points here.
One, I think you are underestimating the size of the progressive wing. Youth and suburban women are sadly increasingly brainwashed to become cultural leftists. They are growing in size not shrinking.
Two, Will the "moderate" Democrats reach a breaking point by 2024?
I have my doubts that they would vote for the stick in 2024 if ever.
You bring up some interesting points and I would prefer that your scenario turns out to be true.
It's happened in New York repeatedly. It's how you get mayors like Rudy Giuliani.
When the voters see enough violence outside their front door, they know which side will sort things out.
Except they’re right. Except whites aren’t having kids. Except nonwhites flood into white nations without any attempt at stopping them by anyone. Except you fundamentally don’t even understand that phrase.
Oh yeah, ignore that then entirety of the global oligarchy openly supports communism, though. They’re just not “successful” enough to abandon their beliefs.
Elections don’t exist.
There will be no such candidate. It is not allowed. You don’t get it.
They will never be shown this. You. Don’t. Get. It.
I would like to thank you for being a voice of reason in the face of the demoralized blackpilled bed-wetters. There are plenty of signs to show that 2022 and perhaps 2024 will not be kind to the Democrats, and we are likely on the cusp of the Populist taking over the Republican Party.
Although I disagree with your OP. I am sure that the RNC doesnt want DeSantis. But they may not have a choice in the matter. And for the broader point, I think Trump is much more useful playing King-Maker than actually running again. He has too much baggage and there is still too much TDS, but much like a Roman emperor, he has the almost single handed power to decide who lives and who dies with but the flick of a thumb. And I think that would be more useful for him than another run at the Presidency.