I think the most likely scenario is a Biden win, then the Dems playing the demographics game for the next four years, thereby ensuring a succession of Dem governments. I'd be very surprised if they don't pursue that in some way, shape or form.
However in terms of balkanisation, that eventuality would really leave the conservative 'faction' with no leverage at all. So I don't think splitting off is viable at all (appreciate it's just "thinking out loud", and same here).
I think the most likely scenario is a Biden win, then the Dems playing the demographics game for the next four years, thereby ensuring a succession of Dem governments. I'd be very surprised if they don't pursue that in some way, shape or form.
However in terms of balkanisation, that eventuality would really leave the conservative 'faction' with no leverage at all. So I don't think splitting off is viable at all (appreciate it's just "thinking out loud", and same here).
Last time a faction was left without a voice was 1860...
It's coming.
And that ended terribly for the secessionists. This time it would be far, far quicker and more comprehensive.
The North won because it had more money, industry, manpower.
Modern rurals have no money.
But they have more weapons (and not just "guns"), and tend to recognize a weapon when they see one.