Also Iranian AD isn't completely ineffective. They're shooting down drones quite regularly and the narrative that the US planes were shot down by friendly fire is questionable to say the least.

Questionable? They were shot down over Kuwait. If Iran is such a wizard they can shoot down F-15s in safe airspace, they should be slaughtering them when they actually fly over Iran. It was Kuwaiti air defense.

Wake me up when Israeli crews get shot down in Iran and we have to stage a ground op to rescue them. The Israelis have bombed Iran with American jets for decades.

Only that Iran is shooting back. Hard. And it's hurting. Bad. The Houthis already managed to bankrupt ports in Israel and caused significant financial damage. Iran is on an entirely different level. You don't see much footage of it because the censorship is quite drastic in Israel and it'll probably increase significantly in the Gulf states too.

The US is utterly destroying their relationships with the Gulf states by leaving them hanging while draining their munitions stockpiles (especially AD) in record time which they can't replenish in any timely manner.

I agree that this is likely, at least, but it's difficult to assess now. We'll see what blocking the Strait of Hormuz does to the global economy. AFAIK the Houthis only blocked Israel/US-connected ships, not oil tankers. However, with respect to the diplomatic effects, countries tend to harden their stance against their attacker regardless of the cause of the conflict. This is a problem for both Iran and the US.

Iran also has the potential to go gloves off and attack oil infrastructure. Not sure why they haven't done that yet, with Khomeini and Ahmedinejad getting killed.

Also Iranian AD isn't completely ineffective. They're shooting down drones quite regularly and the narrative that the US planes were shot down by friendly fire is questionable to say the least.

Questionable? They were shot down over Kuwait. If Iran is such a wizard they can shoot down F-15s in safe airspace, they should be slaughtering them when they actually fly over Iran. It was Kuwaiti air defense.

Wake me up when Israeli crews get shot down in Iran and we have to stage a ground op to rescue them. The Israelis have bombed Iran with American jets for decades.

Only that Iran is shooting back. Hard. And it's hurting. Bad. The Houthis already managed to bankrupt ports in Israel and caused significant financial damage. Iran is on an entirely different level. You don't see much footage of it because the censorship is quite drastic in Israel and it'll probably increase significantly in the Gulf states too.

The US is utterly destroying their relationships with the Gulf states by leaving them hanging while draining their munitions stockpiles (especially AD) in record time which they can't replenish in any timely manner.

I agree that this is likely, at least, but it's difficult to assess now. We'll see what blocking the Strait of Hormuz does to the global economy. However, with respect to the diplomatic effects, countries tend to harden their stance against their attacker regardless of the cause of the conflict. This is a problem for both Iran and the US.

Iran also has the potential to go gloves off and attack oil infrastructure. Not sure why they haven't done that yet, with Khomeini and Ahmedinejad getting killed.