Where's my flying car imp?

You can't go far wrong betting there will be progress, but our ability to predict exactly what that progress will be is pretty shite.

AI is actually pretty good at the things we thought it would learn last, like art. And yet flying cars aren't here. Politics killed the free energy from nuclear. Lightbulbs and engines were the same basic tech for like 100 years, hell, except for photovoltatic (and even then most system do), we're still using h20 and steam to produce energy.

Those who predict specific progress like that are almost always wrong also, often hilariously so, and there's a lot of inertia and 'technically better, but to swap everything would be too massive an undertaking' issues.

Where's my flying car imp?

You can't go far wrong betting there will be progress, but our ability to predict exactly what that progress will be is pretty shite.

AI is actually pretty good at the things we thought it would learn last, like art. And yet flying cars aren't here. Politics killed the free energy from nuclear. Lightbulbs and engines were the same basic tech for like 100 years, hell, except for photovoltatic (and even then most system do), we're still using h20 and steam to produce energy.

Those who predict specific progress like that are almost always wrong also, often hilariously so.