I'll try to explain it as objectively as possible.
In his recent talk with Tucker, he starts out defending the blob, and he later expounds on it in 1.5 hour talk. The central proposition is "no blob, no pencils". Meaning that pencils consist of a large number of materials, many of which come from different countries, and if one of those countries decides to do an export ban, then you do not have pencils. So you need a blob to put pressure of those countries, or destabilize them, or corrupt judges and labor unions, or coup them, in order to be able to have pencils. That is, he says, necessary for American prosperity and safety. He says he does not want MAGA to preside over the 'demise of the American empire'. At the same time, he completely backs what is being done by Trump et al. right now, and he disagrees with methods that are at odds with what he views as 'American values'.
I get a bit annoyed by this argument. Every country in the world has pencils, and no blob. For the materials, there is perfect competition, so even if Malaysia puts an export ban on, nothing will happen. Also, while putting diplomatic pressure may be legitimate, corrupting judges and labor unions (which he seemed to explicitly endorse) are not in my view.
Thoughts? Is he having second thoughts? Did they get to him? Is he playing devil's advocate to prevent people from going overboard in his view? Was he always a double agent (no, he wasn't)?
The purpose of that external debt was to manage the empire. There is literally no reason a strong and successful economy couldn't keep the US a reserve currency. The reason it isn't already gone is because of the weakness of our economy since the 70's, and our imperial efforts since even before that.
This isn't about thinking that china wouldn't try to leverage power. It's about thinking that the US economy wouldn't be able to a better option even with aggressive coercion from other states.
The rest of the world aren't idiots. They have more smart people, more resources, and more incentive. America with fewer people than even EU doesn't stay on top without monetary policy. That's laughable.
They literally all have less of those things.
You can't be that dumb and it's pathetic to pretend to be.