So looks like setting the stage for day one the Ukraine War will be over.
My guess is that the Donbas region will either be independent fully or administratively but more or less a buffer zone. Putin needs an exit that keeps his credibility and Ukraine just needs this to end to begin a century of rebuilding.
Putin's credibility comes from having the most battle hardened army in the world, and redefining the modern concept of land warfare to effectively completely defeat NATO doctrine and equipment. He's beloved at home and the Russians don't have to kidnap old men off the streets to do their "recruiting."
Unlike the United States he doesn't have a credibility problem. The rest of the world knows that Zelensky was trying to detonate the Kursk nuclear power plant. They know we were going to let him do it.
The Russians have no need to accept a white peace, nor the inclination. The Ukies are going to have to surrender.
I feel like Russia getting off to a slow start is kind of par for the course though. It feels to me like the Russian military is always, for lack of a better word, sluggish and clumsy at the start of the war and takes some time to warm up and figure things out. So while the start of the war might be a disaster for Russia, they do have the stamina to fight it out and harden. From my admittedly amateurish position as armchair general, it looks much like the same pattern the Russians followed in every major war since Napoleon.
So looks like setting the stage for day one the Ukraine War will be over.
My guess is that the Donbas region will either be independent fully or administratively but more or less a buffer zone. Putin needs an exit that keeps his credibility and Ukraine just needs this to end to begin a century of rebuilding.
Putin's credibility comes from having the most battle hardened army in the world, and redefining the modern concept of land warfare to effectively completely defeat NATO doctrine and equipment. He's beloved at home and the Russians don't have to kidnap old men off the streets to do their "recruiting."
Unlike the United States he doesn't have a credibility problem. The rest of the world knows that Zelensky was trying to detonate the Kursk nuclear power plant. They know we were going to let him do it.
The Russians have no need to accept a white peace, nor the inclination. The Ukies are going to have to surrender.
Let's be honest here, Russia fucked up, this SHOULD'VE been won in a week but the Russian military leaders were inept and corrupt and fucked it up.
Russia has lost men and equipment it SHOULD NOT have in this war and their military tech is not even on par with the US's 3rd generation gear.
They're winning by doing the WW1 tactic of creeping artillery and moving troops behind but this is far from a decisive win it should have been.
I feel like Russia getting off to a slow start is kind of par for the course though. It feels to me like the Russian military is always, for lack of a better word, sluggish and clumsy at the start of the war and takes some time to warm up and figure things out. So while the start of the war might be a disaster for Russia, they do have the stamina to fight it out and harden. From my admittedly amateurish position as armchair general, it looks much like the same pattern the Russians followed in every major war since Napoleon.