On paper it should be an easy Trump win, but I suspect shenanigans.
This is the perfect place to ask people who are informed. Which agenda will take the win in November and why do you think they will?
On paper it should be an easy Trump win, but I suspect shenanigans.
This is the perfect place to ask people who are informed. Which agenda will take the win in November and why do you think they will?
Trump will win.
However, if it's close, I think the Dems are gonna do a full flip-the-script on 2020.
So for example, Arizona has massive fraud, and Trump goes from leading by 6 points to, after 2 days of counting, is winning by 1 point. Then, on day 3 of counting Harris is up by 0.1 points. So what does Gov Hobbs do? Claims that there is shenanigans in the voting count, for any further counts, and certifies only the Democrat electors. The Republicans will be outraged, and will send their uncertified secondary slate of electors.
At the same time, Governor Shapiro sees that despite all available fraud measures, Trump will win the state by 3 points. So, he declares that there is clear evidence of Republican vote tampering, so he refuses to certify either set of electors.
By the time the count actually has to take place, Republican electors from Arizona have been arrested and held in prison without trial for at least 60 days, while the DC circuit court drags it's heels. Kamalla Harris, who is explicitly required to count the votes by the constitution, breaks the law she passed regarding the VP to refuse to count electors, and illegally counts the Democratic slate of electors from Arizona, and the uncertified Democratic electors for Pennsylvania.
Now, the reason this won't happen is that most of this is so criminal that it would delegitimize the entire federal government, and this bitch has nothing in the way of political capital to pull this off. But I think we may see some states attempt shit like this.
However, what is most likely going to happen is that something crazy will happen, like Trump wins Minnesota, or Virginia, or New Mexico, or even wins Wisconsin by seven points. I think Trump wins the popular vote by several points, pulls a fucking stunner in a couple states, and the response from the media is that it looks like Trump has won by the end of the night and Harris has no other choice but to concede by the end of the 1st or second night while the mainstream media tries to drag out calling Virginia for Trump after a day or two with 99.999% reporting. Expect some states like Arizona and Pennsylvania to have 50,000 votes left to count on night 1, and 75,000 left to count by night 2, but Trump has an 80,000 vote lead.
At the end of the day, I think they're just gonna call it because they've got no additional moves left.
They've already wargamed this, they'll flood the cities with riots and declare Trump illegitimate. They'll take it to the supreme court and either pack it or kill enough justices to get their way.
That's just way too far. That's fantasy land bullshit and no one has the political capital for it.