this is going to be one of those
source: trust me bro
posts, but I have no way of communicating this without doxing myself and I must vent.
I just got off the phone from a pollster. I decided to take the survey, and oh boy was it biased. the questions themselves were surprisingly neutral, but every short-answer question was pulling teeth.
I had the survey taker read back every answer that I gave, and she blatantly changed my answers multiple times in favor of the DNC. I have no proof she even respected what I actually told her. I suspect that she did not respect my answers in the slightest in fact.
there was also a heavy emphasis on abortion in the questionnaire.
polls are fake and gay
Barnes and Barris agree with you on Nebraska. Virginia is going to be tough because of the area around DC is going to be rabid Harris supporters, because the bureaucrats might directly start losing jobs. Trump has a hell of a mechanism to pull out no history voters to vote for him. Literally people who've never voted in their lives, except for Trump, and as a result even good polls understate Trump support by several points (typically 2 full points). It's a tough fight, but I think a Red Virginia is definitely possible.
I think shockers might be in store for Arizona, New Mexico, Oregon, Michigan, Minnesota, New York, and New Jersey. I don't think he's going to win all those states, but I think he could end up winning Arizona (which is still a feat due to voter fraud) as well as one or two of the others. His approval among Hispanics looks like it's putting New Mexico in danger. Oregon has a rabid right-wing movement at this point that will keep it closer than it should be. At the beginning of this month, Harris was only up by five points in Oregon. His performance in NY & NJ is alarming, but won't be enough to overcome NY... That being said he might end the night within 10 points in NJ. Michigan would be a huge win, but a tough win.
Where I think there is not a risk: Wisconsin, Iowa, Ohio, Georgia, North Carolina, Florida, Nevada, Texas. Those are basically just gonna get dominated by Trump. All of them.
Also, I'd say keep an eye on Maine & New Hampshire, those both might end up going Republican. If they report in early with a Trump win, it's gonna be a bad night for the Dems.
I expect more shenanigans with Georgia votes. The people who screwed that up before didn't go anywhere, and they're claiming some immunity from the state government telling them to do their jobs right.
I do to, but some anti-fortification methods have been added, and more importantly: Trump has a very large lead.
I don't think most fraud operations in America can swing votes by more than 7%, and I don't think Georgia is at that level, and Trump's lead in Georgia seems quite substantial.