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posted 1 year ago by Lethn 1 year ago by Lethn +23 / -0
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▲ 9 ▼
– Piroko 9 points 1 year ago +9 / -0

Instead of giving any kind of support for reform

You have an impatient attitude towards party realignments.

Reform just got 14% of the vote to the LibDem's 10% and the Tories 21%. The SNP and the DUP also got demolished, which is interesting. Farage wanted to send a message to the Conservative party, and he was wildly successful at that.

The ball is very much now in the Conservatives court as to how they can respond to Reform.

There are basically two paths forward. Assuming this government goes the distance, the next election is in 2029. The Tories can either make peace with Reform and accept Farage as party leader, or they can fight it out, in which case Labour probably gets another win in 2029, but with a Reform led opposition.

HOWEVER, that's five years from now, and I don't think anyone expects Labour to do a good job. If Labour absolutely tanks and is forced into an early election, and Reform is being the louder opposition than the actual leader of the opposition... then things get more interesting.

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▲ 5 ▼
– deleted 5 points 1 year ago +5 / -0
▲ 5 ▼
– Piroko 5 points 1 year ago +5 / -0

You cannot change politics as quickly as you want them to change without resorting to violence, and I don't see you getting violent.

Farage knew exactly what he wanted to get out of this election cycle and he got it. It could have been a bigger win, but it was a win.

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▲ 3 ▼
– deleted 3 points 1 year ago +3 / -0
▲ 3 ▼
– deleted 3 points 1 year ago +3 / -0
▲ 2 ▼
– Piroko 2 points 1 year ago +2 / -0

That is, of course, their choice. Then Farage will spend the next five years being louder than the real leader of the opposition.

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