Save you the derivation, but basically since Trump voters are so unanimous and Biden allegedly winning moderates 2:1 we can figure that half of Biden-voting moderates are anti-trans, saying that sex is permanent.
Now they may not support discrimination or surgery bans, but a large portion of Biden voters say sex is unchangeable.
So the key takeaway from this is to win 2024, hammer this issue specifically to make Democrat be associated with trans and believing you can change your sex. None of the other social issues were even close to being this lopsided.
My lefty NPC friends will just say "it's not a big deal" and that the right are just "flipping out over nothing". Even when something is obviously wrong they consistently take the "boiled frog" approach and think it is most prudent to wait until it's "a real problem". Of course they'll never define that, but in practice is just means they'll never push back on any societal change until it is practically too late to do so.
Wedges move the weak-willed / conflicted center, not your left friends. I've never seen a wedge like this.
Wedges are always say 70% left-leaning vs 30% right-leaning so as one side is taking votes from the other they are also losing some on their own side. But a wedge that's 100% right-leaning vs 50% left-leaning? It's unheard of.
It means there's no downside to saying "there are two genders". The more you say it, the more democrats will lose voters.
Of course this fighting over the swayable middle is the secret sauce of the 2-party system because most people are unreasonable. Even people here, recently saying skipping S01 of ST:TNG is a "slippery slope" to woke - like really? It's terrible. People being unreasonable is why winner-take-all USA/UK are still going after hundreds of years, no parliamentary system is even close with average less than a lifetime.
Save you the derivation, but basically since Trump voters are so unanimous and Biden allegedly winning moderates 2:1 we can figure that half of Biden-voting moderates are anti-trans, saying that sex is permanent.
Now they may not support discrimination or surgery bans, but a large portion of Biden voters say sex is unchangeable.
So the key takeaway from this is to win 2024, hammer this issue specifically to make Democrat be associated with trans and believing you can change your sex. None of the other social issues were even close to being this lopsided.
My lefty NPC friends will just say "it's not a big deal" and that the right are just "flipping out over nothing". Even when something is obviously wrong they consistently take the "boiled frog" approach and think it is most prudent to wait until it's "a real problem". Of course they'll never define that, but in practice is just means they'll never push back on any societal change until it is practically too late to do so.
I am hearing that "this is the science" and "the AMA supports gender affirming care" and therefore "stop making this political issue".
Wedges move the weak-willed / conflicted center, not your left friends. I've never seen a wedge like this.
Wedges are always say 70% left-leaning vs 30% right-leaning so as one side is taking votes from the other they are also losing some on their own side. But a wedge that's 100% right-leaning vs 50% left-leaning? It's unheard of.
It means there's no downside to saying "there are two genders". The more you say it, the more democrats will lose voters.
Of course this fighting over the swayable middle is the secret sauce of the 2-party system because most people are unreasonable. Even people here, recently saying skipping S01 of ST:TNG is a "slippery slope" to woke - like really? It's terrible. People being unreasonable is why winner-take-all USA/UK are still going after hundreds of years, no parliamentary system is even close with average less than a lifetime.