European military parade vs Russian military parade
(www.bitchute.com)
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I don't think Ukraine can win as worst case scenario, Russia will just start scorched earth than try to win battles, especially if an invasion attempt is towards crimea. They'd rather risk ire of a lot of countries than lose a warm sea port.
Not to mention from a lot of reports, Ukraine is running low on men to keep fighting so I think it'll be more like that war again, Russia wins but it's a humiliating win for them.
So is Russia. And we have started seeing more surrenders and defections in their ranks. As well as more oligarchs back in Russia proper starting to say openly Putin fucked up.
I am not going to pretend like Ukraine has it in the bag. They can still run out of steam here at the end. I just think the odds they win are higher than they dont at this point (especially as they are now getting access to cruise missiles). And even if they lose, they will not be eaten by Russia, Russia gets only Donbass out of it (which is already depopulated as the Russians used them as cannon fodder), and you damn well Ukraine will become a NATO member while Russia is in no position to stop it.
It looks like Ukraine is gearing up for its counter offensive. Depending on how well that goes, we will see which of us is right in the end.