The Trump currently around is not the 2016 one that shocked the establishment or the 2020 one that was such a threat they changed the rules to win.
I don't know if he has that same force of nature not to step aside for ego if it came to that, which is why I'd rather focus on everything below the presidency
6 representatives managed to hold the house in limbo for days till they got deals to end it that included more restrictions on the speaker, we need more like that in both the house and senate then the president can't do fuck all. The only reason the presidency has so much power is both the house and senate shirking responsibilities for centuries..
Regardless of who is the nominee in 2024, the most important thing is ensuring Dems don't get a trifecta. If the Dems manage to get a trifecta in 2024, kiss everything goodbye.
That means holding the House and or flipping the Senate. Holding the House will be hard as the current majority is very thin.
On the other hand the 2024 Senate map is the most favorable Senate map for Republicans in 2 decades.
There are 3 relatively easy flips in solid red states as long as we can get good candidates as the nominees.
The path to flip the Senate is relatively easy as long as our primary voters don't go full retard like they did in swing states like GA, PA and MI in 2022. We cannot have Herschel Walker, Dr. Oz., Doug Mastriano and Tudor Dixon level nominees again.
Best options:
Governor Jim Justice in WV against Joe Manchin.
Secretary of State Frank LaRose in OH against Sherrod Brown.
Attorney General Austin Knudsen or Governor Greg Gianforte in MT against Jon Tester.
Montana Senate is the race we can easily throw away if the base acts dumb.
Rosendale already lost in 2018 to Tester and he has more baggage since then and Zinke has way too much baggage with his corruption allegations.
The base must think here and not nominate Rosendale and Zinke.
The only incumbent seat that worries me a little is Ted Cruz in Texas.
We need Cruz to run a much better campaign than he did against Beto in 2018.
Cruz will likely be up against Collin Alred who will get big margins in the DFW suburbs. Cruz needs to outperform Trump in the suburbs if Trump is the presidential nominee in 2024. If DeSantis is the nominee, he would carry Cruz easily in 2024.
Trump's already done a good job fucking his image on his own. Refusing to acknowledge his mistakes with the lock downs and operation warp speed are part of it, but his stance on red flag laws and his "platinum plan" bullshit are another one too.
The Trump currently around is not the 2016 one that shocked the establishment or the 2020 one that was such a threat they changed the rules to win.
I don't know if he has that same force of nature not to step aside for ego if it came to that, which is why I'd rather focus on everything below the presidency
6 representatives managed to hold the house in limbo for days till they got deals to end it that included more restrictions on the speaker, we need more like that in both the house and senate then the president can't do fuck all. The only reason the presidency has so much power is both the house and senate shirking responsibilities for centuries..
Regardless of who is the nominee in 2024, the most important thing is ensuring Dems don't get a trifecta. If the Dems manage to get a trifecta in 2024, kiss everything goodbye.
That means holding the House and or flipping the Senate. Holding the House will be hard as the current majority is very thin.
On the other hand the 2024 Senate map is the most favorable Senate map for Republicans in 2 decades.
There are 3 relatively easy flips in solid red states as long as we can get good candidates as the nominees.
The path to flip the Senate is relatively easy as long as our primary voters don't go full retard like they did in swing states like GA, PA and MI in 2022. We cannot have Herschel Walker, Dr. Oz., Doug Mastriano and Tudor Dixon level nominees again.
Best options:
Governor Jim Justice in WV against Joe Manchin.
Secretary of State Frank LaRose in OH against Sherrod Brown.
Attorney General Austin Knudsen or Governor Greg Gianforte in MT against Jon Tester.
Montana Senate is the race we can easily throw away if the base acts dumb.
Rosendale already lost in 2018 to Tester and he has more baggage since then and Zinke has way too much baggage with his corruption allegations.
The base must think here and not nominate Rosendale and Zinke.
The only incumbent seat that worries me a little is Ted Cruz in Texas.
We need Cruz to run a much better campaign than he did against Beto in 2018.
Cruz will likely be up against Collin Alred who will get big margins in the DFW suburbs. Cruz needs to outperform Trump in the suburbs if Trump is the presidential nominee in 2024. If DeSantis is the nominee, he would carry Cruz easily in 2024.
Trump's already done a good job fucking his image on his own. Refusing to acknowledge his mistakes with the lock downs and operation warp speed are part of it, but his stance on red flag laws and his "platinum plan" bullshit are another one too.