The Atlantic: It Was Sedition
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I think the plea deals at least in Federal cases are not a sure thing. They make recommendations to a judge. But yes any confession will be accepted on its own merit whether or not your "deal" goes through.
America is basically the USSR in Gulag Archipelago now. "We"'ve let these Fed a-holes come and pick people up and throw them in jail and they never get out before a politically determine sentence.
That's the problem here. In order to get the deal, the guy had to not only confess, but confess in front of the judge, apologize to the judge, declare stuff about Donald Trump and the 2020 election, read several leftist books, and he assumed he would get the deal the prosecutor recommended. And he didn't. The judge literally stood there and said that he understood what the Shaman said, he believed him, he said it was genuine... but the guy had to have an example made out of him, so he couldn't just let him get away with only 20 some months in a federal prison and doubled his fucking sentence.
Yeah the judge can fuck you over in a political prosecution no matter what deal you strike with prosecutors. I suspect if that happened in a county in one of the actual states, you'd appeal. I dont' know what your options are in a federal case.