This is why I'm more convinced of China's impending collapse, they have this much resources and focus to continue the fear campaign and enforcement, it's not sustainable.
You have to consider how China, unlike White Americans and Europeans, has a traditional culture of respecting those in power. The individual doesn't matter. Until the CCP loses what the average Chinese citizen sees as the mandate of heaven, then this shall continue.
You make a good point, but that's also why this will end the current regime
China has a history of focusing so much internally (it's a large country with a massive population so easily done) that it becomes extremely vulnerable to outside forces. This can be a simple power change as with the Qing dynasty to militarily outmatched to the European powers
This time however, it might end up with a complete dissolve and breakup back.to the time of the warring states as there is no rival power to assume authority and there no superpowers preferring them kept intact for their own benefit.
I will also add that chinese culture is deeply steeped in face culture. The regime simply cannot let go or let it fail. So they will have to become even more brutal and demand even "better" results from the minions in the provinces. Who then like good little sycophants go above and beyond with the brutality.
Chinese culture is more conformist, yes, but every government's mandate ultimately derives from its ability to keep people fed and out of abject poverty. If it fails to do that, it will eventually generate a revolution.
The reason that hasn't happened yet in the ostensibly freedom-minded West, despite numerous and obvious abuses by our own leaders, is that we're still too comfortable. The CCP is really pushing its luck right now, though.
It is unlikely China will collapse. They have a large military and they threaten to kill your family if you act up and they follow through on such threats.
China has got at least 5 more years as it currently stands before there will be riots over food. Food riots is how a country goes under. China bought large chunks of the worlds grain to be in good shape for the next year. Further China is putting out public cafeterias to handle food waste. Essentially you'll go to the canteen, pay a fee and get your meal. A lot of Chinese don't like it, but its coming.
I'd like to see the CCP fail, but these current riots I don't see going anywhere.
Oh I don't think these protests will do anything significant, I'll be clear on that I'm predicting more of a decline as a kind of 'Atlas Shrugged' kind that they'll be so focused on control, all other shit they need for a stable country will stop working and they'll have no one to fix it.
By 2100, China will be at half of its current population. There is no economic model to handle that much of a population decline for a nation.
The CCP lied about 100M for its current young people and worker wages are going up incentivizing the globalists to move to Thailand, India and Vietnam. The CCP is using lock downs to attack the West by closing down supply chains, which greatly hurts the dependent West and it incentivizes companies to further flee China.
We are seeing the great reversal of China, its going right back to Mao times, but it will be under Xi. I believe the CCP plans on hard authoritarian to control the country as it descends into poverty.
It's a young empire with an unsustainable governance system. It'll last 300 years at most, and it's already about 70 years into that best-case-for-them timeline.
"Impending" is really the contentious word here, not whether they will or not. Just when.
This is why I'm more convinced of China's impending collapse, they have this much resources and focus to continue the fear campaign and enforcement, it's not sustainable.
You have to consider how China, unlike White Americans and Europeans, has a traditional culture of respecting those in power. The individual doesn't matter. Until the CCP loses what the average Chinese citizen sees as the mandate of heaven, then this shall continue.
You make a good point, but that's also why this will end the current regime
China has a history of focusing so much internally (it's a large country with a massive population so easily done) that it becomes extremely vulnerable to outside forces. This can be a simple power change as with the Qing dynasty to militarily outmatched to the European powers
This time however, it might end up with a complete dissolve and breakup back.to the time of the warring states as there is no rival power to assume authority and there no superpowers preferring them kept intact for their own benefit.
I will also add that chinese culture is deeply steeped in face culture. The regime simply cannot let go or let it fail. So they will have to become even more brutal and demand even "better" results from the minions in the provinces. Who then like good little sycophants go above and beyond with the brutality.
All of the which will hasten what you described.
Chinese culture is more conformist, yes, but every government's mandate ultimately derives from its ability to keep people fed and out of abject poverty. If it fails to do that, it will eventually generate a revolution.
The reason that hasn't happened yet in the ostensibly freedom-minded West, despite numerous and obvious abuses by our own leaders, is that we're still too comfortable. The CCP is really pushing its luck right now, though.
You forget that China also has a history of very violent rebellions.
True, hence if there are mass food issues, they will probably rebel and cause a whole lot of issues.
It is unlikely China will collapse. They have a large military and they threaten to kill your family if you act up and they follow through on such threats.
China has got at least 5 more years as it currently stands before there will be riots over food. Food riots is how a country goes under. China bought large chunks of the worlds grain to be in good shape for the next year. Further China is putting out public cafeterias to handle food waste. Essentially you'll go to the canteen, pay a fee and get your meal. A lot of Chinese don't like it, but its coming.
I'd like to see the CCP fail, but these current riots I don't see going anywhere.
Oh I don't think these protests will do anything significant, I'll be clear on that I'm predicting more of a decline as a kind of 'Atlas Shrugged' kind that they'll be so focused on control, all other shit they need for a stable country will stop working and they'll have no one to fix it.
By 2100, China will be at half of its current population. There is no economic model to handle that much of a population decline for a nation.
The CCP lied about 100M for its current young people and worker wages are going up incentivizing the globalists to move to Thailand, India and Vietnam. The CCP is using lock downs to attack the West by closing down supply chains, which greatly hurts the dependent West and it incentivizes companies to further flee China.
We are seeing the great reversal of China, its going right back to Mao times, but it will be under Xi. I believe the CCP plans on hard authoritarian to control the country as it descends into poverty.
China will 100% collapse.
It's a young empire with an unsustainable governance system. It'll last 300 years at most, and it's already about 70 years into that best-case-for-them timeline.
"Impending" is really the contentious word here, not whether they will or not. Just when.