Republicans may still win it this election
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Oz will clutch it out against Fetterman. I am much more bullish on Oz recently.
Walker is in a pure toss up race against Warnock atm. Walker did fine in the debate and likely assuaged the concerns of squishy center right voters in the Atlanta suburbs.
If Kemp wins >55 percent of the vote for governor against Abrams, his coat-tails should carry Walker to victory without a runoff election.
I think the Rs will ultimately take the Senate this year, the only question is by how many seats.
I am guessing anywhere from a net gain of 1 Senate seat to 3 Senate seats.
I hope so. Fetterman is a total fake-working-class-grifter and stroked the fuck out.
Yes I heard he closed the gap but he's been just one scandal after the next. I hope he wins, but God damn the man isn't remotely what a "vetted" candidate should look like. I get that the Right wants "outsiders" but we need to invest in an operation cultivating new candidates then.
Yes that should help.
538 has them set to lose but I think if we get a bigger red wave than predicted, which should be pretty obvious by now, there should be at least 1 or 2 upset wins and we finally get the Senate.
The Senate is more important than the House since it controls the all-important judicial nominees and executive appointments.
Nate Silver and 538 are trash.
They include blatant fake polls from Lincoln project scum like the CenterStreet PAC into their polling averages and use their Dem inflated polling averages to say Dems are very favored for the Senate.
Nonsense.
I think Republicans likely win NV and PA getting us to 51 Senate seats and thus gain control of the Senate.
AZ and GA Senate remain pure tossups that Rs can hopefully win.
I agree Nate Silver and 538 have a lib bias, they're just the main source used by a lot of the lib media.
RCP average is not perfect but is vastly better than 538.
Nate Silver would have no political career if the Obama campaign didn't leak him internal polls which he used to make his "predictions" in 2008 and 2012. Nate Silver is a complete talentless hack.