I think pretty much all the Senate races all hinge on Biden approval and poliitical environment which are both very favorable for the GOP's odds. Candidate quality is less of an issue here.
Yes, that's what I think unless it's off the charts bad or good on the other side.
The GA and AZ governor races will likely go fine. MI governor race will likely be a loss though sadly. None of the GOP candidates seem like they can beat Whitmer.
Which I find incredible. People really find Whitmer an appealing person?!?!
People like us correctly despise Whitmer but educated suburban White voters somehow love this monster and the black Detroit voters will vote for any Democrat.
Michigan is really a hard state for Republicans to win.
I think Trump 2016 Michigan win was solely because Clinton is so despised and Trump had a good message hammering NAFTA which really plays well in that state.
Even if we could remove all the fraud, it is hard to say to say if Trump won Michigan in 2020.
I think GA, WI, AZ and PA would have gone differently without fraud but MI is a different story.
GOP is likely nominating Tudor Dixon and she is okay I guess but not a strong candidate.
She is backed by the DeVos family which doesn't help her.
She has maybe a 30 percent chance against Whitmer.
Yes, that's what I think unless it's off the charts bad or good on the other side.
Which I find incredible. People really find Whitmer an appealing person?!?!
People like us correctly despise Whitmer but educated suburban White voters somehow love this monster and the black Detroit voters will vote for any Democrat.
Michigan is really a hard state for Republicans to win.
I think Trump 2016 Michigan win was solely because Clinton is so despised and Trump had a good message hammering NAFTA which really plays well in that state.
Even if we could remove all the fraud, it is hard to say to say if Trump won Michigan in 2020.
I think GA, WI, AZ and PA would have gone differently without fraud but MI is a different story.
GOP is likely nominating Tudor Dixon and she is okay I guess but not a strong candidate.
She is backed by the DeVos family which doesn't help her.
She has maybe a 30 percent chance against Whitmer.
Right now it does not look like 30%. More like 5%. But I guess you're counting on the fundamentals reasserting themselves.
I say 30 percent chance because of the fundamentals yes.
We are now officially in a recession too.
Maybe it will be enough for Tudor Dixon to ride the wave.