1. After Lysychans'k, Russia has accomplished nothing, and appears to have completely stalled. There have been a number of reports that Russians have been forced to move troops away from the Donbass area in order to defend against Ukrainian advances around Kharkiv and Kherson. There is no more low hanging fruit for them to attack.

2. Russia have consistently lost more men and equipment than Ukraine. Russia has been forced to open its prisons to scrape the barrel for recruits. It's been forced into aggressive recruitment drives offering huge sums of money to get people to sign up, and still can't fill out its BTGs. It's a meme that Russian propaganda featured one of their boys died and the parents used his death payout to buy a little white Lada car because "it's what he would have wanted", the message being "send us your sons so they can die and you can get a car". By all accounts, Russia is suffering a significant manpower shortage, while Ukraine is not.

I get that the Putin lovers are going to seethe really, really hard now, and for the next few months. Your side lost. It has been known for months that Russia would eventually run out of enough men and equipment to sustain offensive operations. It looks like that time is already upon us, accelerated a little bit by HIMARS blowing up dozens of Russian ammo dumps.