Only the Luhansk Oblast is occupied entirely. Most advances there were made in the first few days when it was a blitzkrieg, since they were advancing only on selected small sections of the front and almost never even 1 km a day since the frontlines stabilized in March.
In the Donetsk Oblast in almost half year the Russians failed to even take Avdiivka literally just west to Donetsk city. It was one of the very first places that came under attack, and it's where the frontline froze back in 2015 (after the fall of Donetsk Airport). So they practically didn't take it in almost a decade.
The attempt to take or even besiege Kharkiv (the most important part of Donbass and also the second biggest city in all Ukraine) failed and was pushed back towards the border beyond normal artillery range. They're still hitting the city but with tactical and cruise missiles. But they try make a new Kharkiv offensive (https://www.dw.com/en/russia-ukraine-updates-moscow-may-seek-to-retake-kharkiv/a-62500892).
And in the South it is Ukrainians who are pushing east, and it's not a new development at all. But they're taking back just small places, one by one, but it's never international news. Even before they launched the counteroffensive there the key point of the Kherson Airbase was always in their regular artillery range, which led to much hilarity as they hit it again and again for a long time while Russians kept restocking it each time (the definition of insanity).
Overall it looks a lot like the early Iran-Iraq and the Russians are Iraqis. (Yes, I wish Ukraine had the F-14s. Instead of the poor birds being fucking shredded.)
Place your bets: only independence for the Donbas republics, annexation of Novarussia, Ukraine forced all the back to Galicia, or something else?
Ukraine is about to lose their southern provinces. The eastern are already gone.
Only the Luhansk Oblast is occupied entirely. Most advances there were made in the first few days when it was a blitzkrieg, since they were advancing only on selected small sections of the front and almost never even 1 km a day since the frontlines stabilized in March.
In the Donetsk Oblast in almost half year the Russians failed to even take Avdiivka literally just west to Donetsk city. It was one of the very first places that came under attack, and it's where the frontline froze back in 2015 (after the fall of Donetsk Airport). So they practically didn't take it in almost a decade.
The attempt to take or even besiege Kharkiv (the most important part of Donbass and also the second biggest city in all Ukraine) failed and was pushed back towards the border beyond normal artillery range. They're still hitting the city but with tactical and cruise missiles. But they try make a new Kharkiv offensive (https://www.dw.com/en/russia-ukraine-updates-moscow-may-seek-to-retake-kharkiv/a-62500892).
And in the South it is Ukrainians who are pushing east, and it's not a new development at all. But they're taking back just small places, one by one, but it's never international news. Even before they launched the counteroffensive there the key point of the Kherson Airbase was always in their regular artillery range, which led to much hilarity as they hit it again and again for a long time while Russians kept restocking it each time (the definition of insanity).
Overall it looks a lot like the early Iran-Iraq and the Russians are Iraqis. (Yes, I wish Ukraine had the F-14s. Instead of the poor birds being fucking shredded.)