This is a broad discussion style post, but it is something I have been thinking about over the last year. There has been repeat discussions on which of the anglo countries are the most screwed (personally, I think it is America with Americans of European descent set to be no longer the majority in just a couple decades). All of the west has declining birth rates plus feminism and other leftist thought having replaced Christianity. I know this is an incredibly vague topic but I am curious as to how the various western countries are fairing compared to each other.
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In regards to central and Southern America; Argentina has severe issues with regressive leftist corruption, Venezuela is suffering from a collapsing communist dictatorship which ironically meant the regressive left may not have taken off there, Mexico has severe issues with crime and corruption so it's believed the regressive left never took off there as a result, Cuba is a Warsaw remnant communist dictatorship so the regressive left likely never took off there, and Brazil has severe issues with extremist court corruption despite Jair Bolsonaro being in charge, along with general reports of the regressive left being active there.
In Asia; S. Korea has issues with extremist feminists there, there are attempts to bring regressive leftism into japan, the PRC actively discriminates against the regressive left despite promoting them outside the country, I have no info on regressive left presence in Taiwan, and I suspect the regressive left never took off in third world Asian countries. Malaysia and Indonesia are Islamic shitholes so you can guess why there are likely no regressive leftists there, and North Korea is similar because the dictatorship made it impossible for regressive leftist ideas to permeate society while giving the leadership a good laugh at how this will likely impact enemy troop performance.
It's safe to assume the Islamic world in is openly hostile towards the regressive left, though in regards to the rest of the middle east; India, Nepal, Sri Lanka, and similar countries are likely too LGB unfriendly for them to thrive, I know nothing about Armenia, and Israel is currently believed to have growing globalist/regressive leftist corruption that will turn the country into the thing that neo-Nazis/white supremacists love to depict it as.
Venezuela: The opposition under Juan Guaido are actually more Left/regressive than Maduro. They're only less Left-wing economically. There isn't really a 'Right' in Venezuela.
Mexico: AMLO/MORENA are actually regressives. Soft on crime and drugs, etc.
Brazil: There's a fast growing regressivism there. Lula will likely be reelected as Bolsonaro's successor.
Regressives have also seen victories in numerous elections. Chile's Boric, Colombia's Petro and Honduras' Castro all indicate a resurgent pink wave. Peru's Castillo is also somewhere between regressive and Bolivarian-Chavismo.
Taiwan: I'd characterize the ruling DPP as regressive, e.g. their legalization of same-sex marriage.
Japan: I suspect same-sex marriage will be legal there within the next five-ten years. The opposition DPJ is quite regressive despite being a big tent.
Malaysia: For now, regressivism is mostly only among ethnic minorities like younger Chinese-Malaysians.
I agree that regressivism hasn't made noticeable inroads into Indonesia or North Korea. It is, however, in the Philippines, albeit largely confined to smaller parties like Makabayan (explicitly regressive party) and Gabriela (explicitly feminist party).
Israel indeed has strong regressivism. You can see that there's a real tension between Likudniks (who are pretty regressive themselves) and Israel's own regressives (e.g. Labor and Meretz), who are seen as too chummy with the Arab parties by the former.
Cubazuela plus Nicaragua (who are being joined by Peru, Chile, Colombia, etc as old Communist guerrillas finally get to power throughout the region despite having failed with armed revolutionary struggles, just like in V originally) are getting massively propped by Russia now. They're not collapsing, they're on the march like never before.
Bolivia practically goes alongside your first three. Morales and Arce have created a Leftist dominant-party system similar to that in Venezuela.
Honduras also goes into your second group. The Honduran military were able to stave off these people for a while by forcibly ousting Zelaya. However, Zelaya's wife has since been elected President.
Brazil will also rejoin that group next election.
So you're correct in saying that the pink tide, despite seeing serious setbacks with the election of more conservative or at least classical liberal people, like Bolsonaro, Uruguay's Lacalle Pou and Ecuador's Lasso, is making serious gains.