Farmers on the brink
(doomberg.substack.com)
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On the other hand, most of the farmers I know actually say a different story. They are concerned, yes. But they are no where near "blow the whistle" "5-alarm fire" territory. The US makes almost all of its fertilizer domestically, and we mostly use ammonia which is in abundant supply. Diesel went up, but in this part of the country its still not outrageous (and most of them wholesale their diesel to keep price down further). And of course, most of them have had nothing but dollar signs in their eyes looking at current crop prices, and it looks like they are clearing out their silos while prices are high.
For gods sake, I have seen literal lines of grain trucks waiting to unload at the elevators, and the railroad has been staging grain cars at the yard, so a lot of people are about to make a lot of money.
Its the eternal truth, and even the retards currently in charge cant break it: When the rest of the world goes hungry, the US gets rich, because we have the most efficient agriculture in the world. And its not even close.
Although if you are out of the US, I would say you may have a bad time. And it sounds like China is preparing to speedrun a Dust Bowl timeline since they are ordering farmers to cut down trees to expand their fields (and ignoring when the farmers say this is a very bad idea).
In the short term, countries who produce food will likely be fine (but poorer). Countries that rely on imports might be fucked. However since that applies to a lot of African countries that also means the West is fucked because we'll get even more migrants.
More like a lot of wars in Africa. When resources become scarce, the guns come out and the slaughter begins. Look at Yemen when water became scarce how tribal violence started. 2023 is going to be the year of genocide in Africa, mark my words.
Yes, Africa has a lot of people and has the fastest growing countries. Very, very young countries too in terms of average population age. Ripe for war and genocide. China and the West (if they can be separated at this point) have many mineral interests there.