I found a paper that declared that 33% of cases were from asymptomatic spread. Upon closer inspection it was a model that assumed covid could be spread after x days and symptoms appeared after y days where y was greater than x, so essentially it found that if you assume you can spread covid before symptoms show up then there will be people who spread covid before symptoms show up. Modeling is a blight. We should take away scientists' computers until we can figure out what the hell is going on.
Contrary to what I've seen some trying to say lately, Thalidomide was actually thoroughly tested on a number of different so-called "animal models". Pregnant ones, too. But of all the species tested, it only affected one as a teratogen - ironically enough, the Guinea Pig; they figured humans would be one of the lucky majority. They weren't.
So I found things that even more people believe, such as that we have some knowledge of how to educate. There are big schools of reading methods and mathematics methods, and so forth, but if you notice, you'll see the reading scores keep going down--or hardly going up--in spite of the fact that we continually use these same people to improve the methods. There's a witch doctor remedy that doesn't work. It ought to be looked into; how do they know that their method should work? Another example is how to treat criminals. We obviously have made no progress--lots of theory, but no progress--in decreasing the amount of crime by the method that we use to handle criminals.
Yet these things are said to be scientific. We study them. And I think ordinary people with commonsense ideas are intimidated by this pseudoscience. A teacher who has some good idea of how to teach her children to read is forced by the school system to do it some other way--or is even fooled by the school system into thinking that her method is not necessarily a good one. Or a parent of bad boys, after disciplining them in one way or another, feels guilty for the rest of her life because she didn't do "the right thing," according to the experts.
So we really ought to look into theories that don't work, and science that isn't science.
I found a paper that declared that 33% of cases were from asymptomatic spread. Upon closer inspection it was a model that assumed covid could be spread after x days and symptoms appeared after y days where y was greater than x, so essentially it found that if you assume you can spread covid before symptoms show up then there will be people who spread covid before symptoms show up. Modeling is a blight. We should take away scientists' computers until we can figure out what the hell is going on.
Scott Adams talks about the fraud of modeling -
in finance it is well known that you can produce a model that shows whatever results your boss wants to see...
Unfortunately journalists and epidemiology majors are a few orders of magnitude more retarded than people who work in finance
But of course. It's not their money on the line.
...
Contrary to what I've seen some trying to say lately, Thalidomide was actually thoroughly tested on a number of different so-called "animal models". Pregnant ones, too. But of all the species tested, it only affected one as a teratogen - ironically enough, the Guinea Pig; they figured humans would be one of the lucky majority. They weren't.
Cargo cult science:
TRUST THE SCIENCE!
https://i.imgur.com/hB43xgB.jpg