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17
What Now?
posted 5 years ago by Smith1980 5 years ago by Smith1980 +17 / -0

So I guess it’s president Biden. Does anyone think Trump can win in court?

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▲ 20 ▼
– Piroko 20 points 5 years ago +20 / -0

Nothing much, really.

Here's the score. Biden wins the presidency. He'll be replaced by Harris pretty quickly. Seems grim, right?

Wrong. See, the Dems don't have the Senate. No Senate, no court packing. Redistricting happens in 2021, so 2022 is a new set of House races. The 2022 Senate class isn't great, the GOP will be defending more with no good prospects for pickups until 2024. But, Dems will probably lose the house, so again, no court packing.

In 2024, President Harris will have failed to expand the court, will be unpopular with the far left, probably unpopular with the moderates, and be easily replaced by a younger Republican, maybe Don Jr.

In the meantime, the court will be chugging along doing its own thing like it typically does.

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▲ 13 ▼
– Lurker404 13 points 5 years ago +13 / -0

What does the senate look like after this election? As long as the Reps hold that they can at least block legislation (but not executive orders). That is if they stick together, which they often don't, unlike Dems.

Reps are on borrowed time. Every area Dems win, they control the elections. They control the elections, they control how many ballots turn up behind closed doors after the people have voted. Reps are going to lose one city at a time to Dems and never get them back. And who's going to donate time or money to Rep campaigns when they just sit idly by while their vote gets stolen?

Plus, the left is now going to rev up the propaganda, censorship and discrimination even more.

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▲ 10 ▼
– Piroko 10 points 5 years ago +10 / -0

Reps are on borrowed time.

So are the democrats.

You don't seem to understand. The democratic party is not the party of its base.

For about 30 years, beginning with Bush Sr, the republican party was moving away from its base, at the direction of neoconservative morons. Those people are gone now. One way or another the right now at least understands that they were listening to the wrong people and saying the wrong things.

This same cycle began in earnest for the democrats with Obama. Obama was not a far leftist. I understand that some on the right see him that way but he wasn't a far leftist.

Bernie Sanders is to the democrats, what Pat Buchanan was to the republicans.

Biden will probably win, and Harris will probably get some time in office because Biden isn't mentally fit for the job.

But Harris won't be what the far left wants her to be. She won't because she's a political opportunist who merely talked like a zealot. Inside, there's just self interest.

There is a reckoning coming for the democratic party; they cannot hold it off forever, sooner or later there will be a consequence for trying to create a coalition between moderate liberals and radical progressives. High taxes drive moderates to go conservative faster than anything else in politics, because in the end it really is all about money, and the progressives want a lot of it.

Now, as for the internet...

Anyone who was thinking that a solution to the problems of the internet would come from the state, is a moron.

The internet's solutions will always be emergent, organic solutions. We've done a lot, but we haven't gone far enough. SubscribeStar is a start, Parler is a start. DotWin is a start. But we have to go to the next level, creating new competing CDNs and cloud hosting systems.

The internet remains ancapistan in literally all ways, including the ways that lead to monopolies.

Lastly, how do the republicans recover?

They need to concede that they lost the culture war on abortion. Trump turned them around on gay marriage, and that was a start, but ultimately the GOP does need to come to terms with the fact that they lost that war and cannot keep fighting it because it's a fight they can only ever manage to stalemate. It will sort itself out biologically.

As a party, they need to focus on a uniting message of nationalism, military non-interventionism, liberty, private gun ownership, and low taxes. And they need to shut down the occasional loon that bangs on about social security. Trump was right that entitlement programs are, broadly speaking, very popular with old people.

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▲ 10 ▼
– w-duranty6489 10 points 5 years ago +10 / -0

moderate liberals

They don't exist.

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▲ 3 ▼
– Piroko 3 points 5 years ago +3 / -0

Well, no see that's where you're wrong.

Moderate liberals are people like, frankly, my parents.

I had a discussion with them pointing out all the radically progressive things Harris said, and their response was quite literally that they are confident that she's lying to the progressives, and that in the end she'll be another neolib corporate dem.

Which is exactly what they want because they don't trust the GOP to not touch medicare and social security.

This is mainstream boomer thinking.

And the thing is, I can't even say they're wrong.

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