On paper it should be an easy Trump win, but I suspect shenanigans.
This is the perfect place to ask people who are informed. Which agenda will take the win in November and why do you think they will?
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Good to see, but they are worse here: https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7456/Who-will-win-the-2024-US-presidential-election
And there was also another site where they tanked even worse than here.
Betting markets did better last times around. While pundits were saying that Trump had no chance, they gave him a better chance - though obviously, they were very wrong in 2016 all the same.