On paper it should be an easy Trump win, but I suspect shenanigans.
This is the perfect place to ask people who are informed. Which agenda will take the win in November and why do you think they will?
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I think it is close, but I'd consider Trump the narrow favorite (I thought he would lose in 2016 and 2020).
Pro:
The polls show it to be close, and Trump has outperformed polls. The assassination attempt should drive turnout.
Con:
Concerns are the overturning of Roe vs. Wade, and the fact that Trump does not have a good ground game. And perhaps pollsters have adjusted their polls to account for an overperforming Trump. There are also some noises about not enough men voting in PA (yet, but there is still time), and tanking betting markets (though still better than 4 and 8 years ago).
A lot of republicans vote exactly on Election Day. Because most of us consider it a national holiday and love exercising our fundamental god-given rights out of love for this country