On paper it should be an easy Trump win, but I suspect shenanigans.
This is the perfect place to ask people who are informed. Which agenda will take the win in November and why do you think they will?
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Not sure who you've been listening to but there's been a ton of emphasis on down-ballot races on the commentators that I listen to. e.g. Dan Bongino has interviews every Sunday and they are frequently senate/house candidates.