I work from home most days and the voting place is like 1.5 miles from me so I went and voted during lunch (lot more people than I thought would be there at that time). I’d say Trump will win but I thought he would win in 2020 (suspicious stuff aside of course). I have a friend who thinks it will be a 1984 style blowout for Trump, but I doubt that since demographic changes have made such a landslide nearly impossible. Another friend of mine thinks it would be poetic justice for Trump to win by a razor thin margin and have Dems/media screaming about a stolen election with their own protest at the capitol that the media downplays.
Anyway, what do y’all predict?
Go with the prediction markets. Markets in principle factor in everything, including cheating.
So since the markets are only somewhat favoring Trump, he wins but it's electorally close. A Virginia or some other upset they didn't expect to need widespread cheating in will put him over the 270.
Prediction markets are also easily manipulated in the short term.
But right now they are ALL pointing to a Trump win.
Kamala was great until she opened her mouth and people remembered she is the ho who jails people for forced labor.