We take for granted that young people will ALWAYS be left, but if the young male vote ends up even close to what some polling is saying, it will be years of electoral disaster for Democrats. These voters are reachable
I've been trying to say this for years. People don't get more left-wing with age, they get more right-wing and conservative.
A few years ago, political and ideological affiliation were being studied, and something huge showed up in the data. Normally, each generation is significantly more left-wing than the previous, and only because as leftist as the previous generation at it's peak. I made up the numbers because I've forgotten them at this point, but it's something like this:
10% of the Silent Generation was Leftist at 18, 0% Leftist at 75
20% of the Greatest Generation was Leftist at 18, 10% at 75
30% of the Baby Boomers were Leftist at 18, 20% at 75
40% of Gen X were Leftist at 18, will likely be 30% at 75
50% of Millennials were Leftist at 18
But then a major shift occurred and it looked like:
45% of Gen Z were leftist at 18
People mistakenly thought Gen Z and Gen Alpha are conservative. They're not, they are just the first generation to clearly reverse this trend of leftist youths in almost 100 years.
And no, those voters are actually unreachable for the Left. As you've seen from former communist states, Reagan voters, and Thatcher voters, they don't actually ever go back because the magic wore off. The Left is actually playing hard defense. Even in our current polling, the Democrats basically lost the majority of the white vote in the 70's, and it never came back. It still hasn't. The only hold outs are the people who are legacy voters. People who vote Democrat because they've always voted Democrat and so did their parents.
Trump winning over young people, without even privatizing the public school system, is probably the greatest electoral accomplishment of our lifetime, because it's setting the stage for an anti-Leftist century going forwards.
the other is not ceding all cultural masculinity to the GOP. Sports aren't inherently conservative.
Because your party's intelligentsia already declared masculinity to be fascist.
Agreed. I think we are on the verge of a "cascade collapse" of Neo-Liberalism. As with Communism and Napoleonic Jacobinism before it; when it goes, it will go all at once.
I've been trying to say this for years. People don't get more left-wing with age, they get more right-wing and conservative.
A few years ago, political and ideological affiliation were being studied, and something huge showed up in the data. Normally, each generation is significantly more left-wing than the previous, and only because as leftist as the previous generation at it's peak. I made up the numbers because I've forgotten them at this point, but it's something like this:
But then a major shift occurred and it looked like:
People mistakenly thought Gen Z and Gen Alpha are conservative. They're not, they are just the first generation to clearly reverse this trend of leftist youths in almost 100 years.
And no, those voters are actually unreachable for the Left. As you've seen from former communist states, Reagan voters, and Thatcher voters, they don't actually ever go back because the magic wore off. The Left is actually playing hard defense. Even in our current polling, the Democrats basically lost the majority of the white vote in the 70's, and it never came back. It still hasn't. The only hold outs are the people who are legacy voters. People who vote Democrat because they've always voted Democrat and so did their parents.
Trump winning over young people, without even privatizing the public school system, is probably the greatest electoral accomplishment of our lifetime, because it's setting the stage for an anti-Leftist century going forwards.
Because your party's intelligentsia already declared masculinity to be fascist.
Excellent analysis. I would add that as things deteriorate further, both young and old will turn against leftism. Like Venezuela.
Agreed. I think we are on the verge of a "cascade collapse" of Neo-Liberalism. As with Communism and Napoleonic Jacobinism before it; when it goes, it will go all at once.