I tend to avoid talking politics with my parents (mostly because they watch CNN and MSNBC all of the time), but in rare instances where war comes up, I ask them, "what if they reinstate the draft?" Their immediate response is, "that will never happen" and that is the end of the conversation. I sometimes think they say that because they don't want to even entertain the idea of the possible outcomes of a draft for their children, though perhaps they genuinely believe that the draft would never be reinstated because of potentially how unpopular it would be. I have seen similar strong opinions on this board about the impossibility of a draft in the United States, and I have to wonder why you are all so certain about it?
Time and again we have seen decisions by the government being made that defy logic, especially politically, only for the average citizen to look on in complete apathy at best, and sheer joy at worst. Years of the Syrian Civil War being plastered everywhere with criticisms of US inaction have made the left more hungry for war. The Ukraine War has seen leftist individuals (even the trannies who you would expect to whine and moan about doing anything) actually travel to Ukraine and participate in fighting. The propaganda is powerful, and the apathy towards resisting is even stronger.
I think you would have to be foolish to not even entertain the idea of the Establishment reinstating the draft. It doesn't matter if the logistics would be impossible as that has rarely stopped the government before. As far as I see it, the Silent Generation and the Boomers are not satisfied with merely passing away quietly, they want to go out in a blaze of glory, consequences for their children, and the human race as a whole, be damned.
You are looking at trying to disprove an imaginary hypothetical with no details and the best you can come up with is "they are crazy! anything could happen!"
You've created an impossible position to argue against, and then are coming to ask people to argue against it to act smug.
Try finding a reason why they would reinstate the draft, really think through the reasons and the immediate consequences, especially those of self interest to the Establishment, and you'll quickly come to the point where there is no actual reason to ever do so. They'd lose more than they'd gain by a massive margin in every sense, and no one has enough unquestioned power to push it through without their overlords stopping them to protect business relations or carefully laid social manipulations.
This presupposes the people in charge are rational and logical, which is incorrect. In fact given that a draft would certainly be disastrous means it's more likely to happen. Or did you not just watch the leadership collectively lose their minds over Ukraine?
I was also able to see their objectives and reasoning for the Ukrainian choices. They weren't smart or capable but they had reasons and a lot of certain powers highly benefited from it going badly, which is why it happened the way it did.
So again, you need to bring a reason why they would take that option other than "they are so crazy and bad of course they'd do something terrible!" Everything the draft would accomplish, they are already accomplishing fine with no issue.
They want to invade a bunch of countries and there's no way to do that without a draft. China is gearing up to take Taiwan, we're losing Ukraine, and we're being chased out of the red sea. All of this will invite even more adventurism accross the globe. It is normal for empires in their death throes to lash out militarily in all directions.
And a draft wouldn't help any of that. Patriotism is a fraction of what it was in the 60s and even then it barely managed to scrounge up a bunch of retards that could barely be controlled and lost the war thanks to a combination of their retardation and the backhome protests.
So they'd manage to bump recruitment a fractional amount, incite mass revolt back home, and accomplish maybe taking a single country that thanks to Global Politics we couldn't truly conquer and instead have to "rebuild."
And that's without getting into how much it would ruin the CIA level undermining going on in every country as well as the Globalist Business deals and trade exploiting every nation's resources.
Because again, you've got a bunch of guys who barely want to be there and absolutely would be barely controllable once they are. Anything you hope to accomplish in those nations besides full glassing and genocide is in huge risk by using drafted troops.
The entire "they are gonna draft us" relies on thinking soldiers are empty numbers they could use as pawns and that the Powers That Be are so retarded they think that. When all the reasons why those powers seem retarded is because people aren't as controllable as they want them to be and keep fucking up their plans. Adding a draft turns every American into a possible threat to those plans.