Vox Day covered it better.

The TL;DR is the image in that link, the source being German projections of an escalation of hostilities by Russia.

I highly doubt Putin is looking to escalate in the way the Germans are predicting in that image. He's entirely content to bleed the West in Ukraine and doesn't need to do any of the things listed to achieve that end.

Building BRICS and opening another front in Taiwan while keeping Ukraine as an open-pit money fire is more dangerous to the West than the German projections-- and the idea of the West bringing an ultimatum to Russia's doorstep in this way is laughable.