Next week we have upcoming gubernatorial elections in MS and KY.

My predictions:

MS Gov: Tate Reeves (R) wins again by 5-9 points. MS is a solid red state with high racial polarization where Whites generally vote for Republicans and Blacks vote Dem, thus even though Reeves has some scandals, he still wins by a decent margin.

KY Gov: Andrew Beshear (D) sadly wins again by 1-5 points. Kentucky is a solid red state so you would first think Republican Daniel Cameron wins easily but it is not so simple. Beshear has managed high approval ratings as the Kentucky legislature has a Republican supermajority which serves as a big check against him. Also it is pretty obvious that Daniel Cameron being Black will somewhat hurt him in some White rural areas. I really hope I am wrong about this prediction.

We also have legislative races in VA and NJ

NJ: I think it is pretty obvious that Democrats ultimately remain in solid control of both houses of the legislature.

VA: Youngkin has been working hard to get a trifecta in VA. Republicans have control of the House currently and they are trying to flip the Senate.

I think the House is a tossup as the Republicans have fielded some decent candidates with good optics so they have a decent shot even in a fairly blue state like VA. 50 seats R 50 seats D

I think the Senate is harder. Winning the VA senate requires winning two seats that Biden won by double digit margins so I sadly think Dems will keep the VA senate by like 2 seats. 22 seats for the Dems to 18 seats for Republicans

There are also downballot races in Lousiana for SOS, AG and other row offices which I think will all be easily won by Republicans.

There is a State Supreme Court election in PA. I think PA is just beyond fucked in terms of the state GOP generally being inept clowns and letting shady fraud shit happen. I sadly expect the Democrats to "win" this race.

There is also an abortion ballot referendum in Ohio as well. Abortion referendums have just been going terrible for the GOP so I am assuming this will sadly also be a result in favor of abortion.

There is also a high profile local mayoral election in Houston, Texas as well. Likely there will be a runoff but the end result is that "moderate" Democrat John Whitmire beats psychotic Hillary endorsed Dem Sheila Jackson Lee.

There are some smaller elections I missed here but these are my predictions for this year's big elections.

Feel free to share your own predictions and let me know if my predictions are reasonable or just delusional or whatever.

If you live in any of these areas, go out and vote even if you think the elections are pointless or rigged. It is easy to vote so let's make it as hard as possible for the Democrats to get away with shady shit.