We're coming up on Month 5 of the fabled four week Ukrainian offensive that was to have pushed the Russians back to Moscow by August. The Ukranians are estimated to have taken more than a quarter of a million casualties, are almost totally out of armored vehicles and are largely down to attacking in waves like zombies by drugging their conscripted soldiers with methamphetamine. We've even seen the most blatant attempt at a CIA color revolution in our lifetimes in the form of the hastily aborted Wagner rebellion, and the company has since largely been absorbed into the Russian Ministry of Defense. And we've finally started seeing fatigue set in within the US political system as the normally cowardly cuckolds of the Republican party are now suggesting that pouring a third of the defense budget into the most corrupt country on earth might have been a bad idea.
Thus I ask, how do you think the conflict will be resolved?
One small caveat, since I haven't seen this mentioned much on the site. The Russians officially consider the United States a belligerent in the war, and won't accept negotiations brokered by the US government. Turns out lend lease isn't a trick that works twice.
My prediction from the first week of the war remains. It will be end of both countries. Pre-war both of them had catastrophically low birth rates and now their prime demographics are either being killed or fleeing.
It will take literally a century to de-mine ukraine. The nova kakhovka damn will probably never be rebuilt. Agriculture will never return to pre-war levels. Assuming things stabilize after the war, who is going to jump up and move to ukraine? Who is going to start a business there that isn't some grift or money laundering?
Similarly, who is going to want to deal with russia? Who is going to build their business around supply lines that could be cut off for their next war? Who is going to lease them airplanes when they've shown they'll just take them? Who is going to have diplomatic when they've used diplomacy as a cover for assassination? Forget about the rest of the world then, who is going to do anything inside russia? Who is going to buy anything or build anything, who is going to settle all this conquered territory - they have no fucking people and no babies. The only people breeding in russia are mongols and islamists, but on their news it's constantly "muh ethnic russian manifest destiny, we will nuke you" fucking retards.
The agricultural impact is probably going to fuck up at least one middle eastern country in the coming year or two. They're desert countries that import food and they have top heavy hierarchies that will topple over the minute someone doesn't have bread on the table.
Putin had supreme authority, huge amounts of money, all the land and resources anyone could ever want. He could have built anything. Railroads, cities, bridges, fucking pyramids - anything. Instead he wanted to steal the success of his brothers and build a statue of himself as the new great war hero. But you can't steal a civilization, you can only destroy it. I hope china is taking notes.