At 19:55 he estimates 40-50k Russians killed, but Prigozhin himself said 20k wagnerites had been killed just in Bakhmut. It doesn't seem like Bakhmut could represent 50% of all combat losses for Russia, but maybe - Pareto principle and all.
In addition, oryx documents visually confirmed losses of more than 10,000 Russian vehicles. It doesn't seem possible to have only a few people killed per vehicle destroyed - even just counting the crew of the vehicle gets you up there pretty fast.
At 31:44 he references a mexican cartel member allegedly having a javelin missile. This was a widely misreported story based on a video of a cartel member with what appears to be an AT4. The AT4 is used by at least 32 different countries, and cartels getting ahold of them is not new. Now, I would not want to be shot with an AT4, but it is unguided with an effective range of 300 meters, vs a javelin which is thermally guided and can hit targets at 2500-4000 meters depending on variant. Not exactly the same beast.
In addition, oryx documents visually confirmed losses of more than 10,000 Russian vehicles. It doesn't seem possible to have only a few people killed per vehicle destroyed - even just counting the crew of the vehicle gets you up there pretty fast.
I would recommend checking out some of the Chieftain's videos. Specifically his "Oh bugger. The tank is on fire." segments.
It takes a lot less to disable a vehicle - destroying a tire or breaking a tread - than to destroy a vehicle, but a crew will abandon a disabled vehicle long before it is destroyed by the next tank crew who thinks... "Is that vehicle dead, or just at a stop? Better put some HE through it to make sure."
The short version: not every destroyed vehicle means all crew died onboard.
At 19:55 he estimates 40-50k Russians killed, but Prigozhin himself said 20k wagnerites had been killed just in Bakhmut. It doesn't seem like Bakhmut could represent 50% of all combat losses for Russia, but maybe - Pareto principle and all.
In addition, oryx documents visually confirmed losses of more than 10,000 Russian vehicles. It doesn't seem possible to have only a few people killed per vehicle destroyed - even just counting the crew of the vehicle gets you up there pretty fast.
At 31:44 he references a mexican cartel member allegedly having a javelin missile. This was a widely misreported story based on a video of a cartel member with what appears to be an AT4. The AT4 is used by at least 32 different countries, and cartels getting ahold of them is not new. Now, I would not want to be shot with an AT4, but it is unguided with an effective range of 300 meters, vs a javelin which is thermally guided and can hit targets at 2500-4000 meters depending on variant. Not exactly the same beast.
I would recommend checking out some of the Chieftain's videos. Specifically his "Oh bugger. The tank is on fire." segments.
It takes a lot less to disable a vehicle - destroying a tire or breaking a tread - than to destroy a vehicle, but a crew will abandon a disabled vehicle long before it is destroyed by the next tank crew who thinks... "Is that vehicle dead, or just at a stop? Better put some HE through it to make sure."
The short version: not every destroyed vehicle means all crew died onboard.