Abiogenesis experiments are a pipedream, amino acids are not life.
You don't expect to evolve, even a basic life form, in the timeframe of any normal experiment, do you?
This is why you have to take experiments one step at a time.
The scale of the universe shows how paltry the sample size is, not how inevitable life is. I'm not saying there certainly isn't some alien life form out there, just that it is beyond the scope of what can be known, even out of the scope of a ballpark guess.
Here's the problem with that. You're not treating the scale and time of the universe with enough respect.
If X has a chance of occurring that is 1/10^100. In an infinite spacetime frame, the probability of X occurring is not only 1... but the probability of infinitely many X's occurring is 1.
The scope of the universe is ultra-massive. The fact that it's possible that the conditions of life could form on other planets or moons in our own solar system basically eliminates the idea that there is no other life in the universe. It's effectively a guarantee that, somewhere, at some point, no matter how brief, life existed outside of Earth. Sapience is a much harder calculation that needs more data.
You don't expect to evolve, even a basic life form, in the timeframe of any normal experiment, do you?
This is why you have to take experiments one step at a time.
Here's the problem with that. You're not treating the scale and time of the universe with enough respect.
If X has a chance of occurring that is 1/10^100. In an infinite spacetime frame, the probability of X occurring is not only 1... but the probability of infinitely many X's occurring is 1.
The scope of the universe is ultra-massive. The fact that it's possible that the conditions of life could form on other planets or moons in our own solar system basically eliminates the idea that there is no other life in the universe. It's effectively a guarantee that, somewhere, at some point, no matter how brief, life existed outside of Earth. Sapience is a much harder calculation that needs more data.