PornHub traffic in Louisiana drops 80% after digital ID requirement
(media.scored.co)
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IMO I don't think that's it.
If you were to pay for online porn, there would still be a delivery mechanism, just not a physical copy.
And, obviously, there's never been age verification for online porn until now.
The way it used to work is, just like with nicotine products, if you paid for it, there was a reasonable expectation that you were old enough to purchase it.
I'm pretty sure use of a credit card was the age verification, which works as well as the ID check now so I would rather they just required that. $1 charge or a test charge to make it basically free. It sidesteps the government overreach concerns.