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Although I generally don't trust any polls, this particular pollster was the most accurate pollster for the Texas governor race in 2022 and the Texas Presidential race in 2020. Trump as the nominee in 2024 absolutely turns Texas into a risky toss-up state. (twitter.com)
posted 3 years ago by onetruephilosoraptor 3 years ago by onetruephilosoraptor +13 / -0
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– TerpenoidTester 4 points 3 years ago +4 / -0

You are basing a TON of your opinion on this single poll, run by a Liberal Arts college in Texas with questionable methodology.

Texas is currently being flooded with migrants with all the Southern Border states. What this poll and you are suggesting is that nobody in Texas cares about this issue.

That's absurd.

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– onetruephilosoraptor [S] 3 points 3 years ago +3 / -0

You are ignoring how the state has electorally trended from 2016 to 2020 and how the Senate race trended from 2012 to 2018.

The margins have substantially narrowed for Trump and Cruz. The two men have only acquired more baggage since their last election. Trump has J6 and Stop the Steal which hurts him dearly in the suburbs and Cruz has the Cancun Cruz debacle which hurts him in the suburbs.

There are legitimate reasons to be worried about this.

Suburban voters here care about the border somewhat but they absolutely don't like Donald Trump and Ted Cruz as individuals.

People DON'T always vote on policy but sometimes on personal dislike.

Texas is a likely red state for any Republican that is not Trump or Cruz.

Trump and Cruz are the weakest performing Republicans in the last 30+ years.

Having them both on the ballot at the same time in 2024 is just a nightmare waiting to happen.

I have given you my reasons and the election data to support this.

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