You are trying to look at one element of the cross tabs to try to discredit this. Cross-tabs often have really bizarre findings.
As someone who lives in a right leaning Texas suburb in the DFW area, I have seen with my own eyes that even right leaning suburban voters in Texas just don't like Donald Trump and Ted Cruz.
If Trump is the nominee, these two men will be on the ballot at the same time!
Texas suburban voters will vote for the Greg Abbott and Dan Patrick types but just not Trump and Cruz.
There is a reason why Trump was the first GOP Presidential nominee to lose Tarrant County in 2020 and Cruz was the first GOP senator to lose Tarrant County in 2018.
Trump and Cruz on the ballot at the same time in Texas is a nightmare waiting to happen.
That was just one of many bizarre statistical spreads showing that the methodology they used was designed to get a result instead of properly random.
Texas is unique in that you can completely control the results by where and how you administer the poll. There is enough far left conclaves in TX to easily manipulate data.
That's why the first thing I looked at was the methodology and the individual numbers, and it confirmed my suspicions.
When you know how to review data you learn how to spot red flags. This one has a ton.
Yeah, Trump lost support among white men between 2016 and 2020. During a time when democrats were openly hostile to white men, white men abandoned Trump and voted for the people who loudly and proudly hate them.
I'm looking through the methodology and this is one biased fucking sample group.
4% of black people who contributed to this survey said they "strongly disapprove" of Biden?
4%? Look at the other percentage points on Q6 how is that even possible?
There's all sorts of statistical shittery about this poll, and I don't trust anything from "The Texas Politics Project"
https://texaspolitics.utexas.edu/
It is essentially an extension of a liberal college.
Go look at this pollster's results in 2020 and 2022.
They were the most accurate.
https://twitter.com/GiancarloSopo/status/1653764105646358529
You are trying to look at one element of the cross tabs to try to discredit this. Cross-tabs often have really bizarre findings.
As someone who lives in a right leaning Texas suburb in the DFW area, I have seen with my own eyes that even right leaning suburban voters in Texas just don't like Donald Trump and Ted Cruz.
If Trump is the nominee, these two men will be on the ballot at the same time!
Texas suburban voters will vote for the Greg Abbott and Dan Patrick types but just not Trump and Cruz.
There is a reason why Trump was the first GOP Presidential nominee to lose Tarrant County in 2020 and Cruz was the first GOP senator to lose Tarrant County in 2018.
Trump and Cruz on the ballot at the same time in Texas is a nightmare waiting to happen.
That was just one of many bizarre statistical spreads showing that the methodology they used was designed to get a result instead of properly random.
Texas is unique in that you can completely control the results by where and how you administer the poll. There is enough far left conclaves in TX to easily manipulate data.
That's why the first thing I looked at was the methodology and the individual numbers, and it confirmed my suspicions.
When you know how to review data you learn how to spot red flags. This one has a ton.
None of what you said changes the point I am making.
This one poll is nowhere close to the only evidence I am providing to support my argument.
My argument is that Trump 2024 and Cruz for Senate on the ballot at the same time would be the weakest GOP ticket in Texas in the last 40 years.
Look at Trump's margin of victory in 2016 then in 2020.
He won by about 9 points in 2016 and only by 5.5 points in 2020. Trump has only acquired more baggage since 2020.
Look at Cruz's margin in 2018. He barely won by a margin of about 3 points.
Since then the Dems have painted Ted as Cancun Cruz for fleeing Texas during the Winter storm of 2021.
Trump on the topline absolutely will harm Cruz.
We absolutely need to hold Cruz's Senate seat to prevent a Dem tri-fecta.
Trump as the 2024 nominee is playing a dangerous game in Texas.
As someone who lives in a suburban area in Texas, Trump and Cruz together is the most toxic ticket here.
If these two men are on the ballot at the same time and we are lucky enough that they both win Texas in 2024, it will be by the skin of their teeth.
Yeah, Trump lost support among white men between 2016 and 2020. During a time when democrats were openly hostile to white men, white men abandoned Trump and voted for the people who loudly and proudly hate them.
That’s definitely what happened. It wasn’t fraud.