And this is going to kill any future he has as a presidential candidate.
6 weeks is within the time of 'am I pregnant' and 'wait, did I miss it this month?' because a lot of women have irregular periods for different reasons.
The bill doesn't kill his future as abortion bans are only seen pretty unfavorably in ONE of the states he needs to win. It is just Wisconsin which got tougher.
For AZ and GA, being hardcore pro-life is not really a big detriment.
Remember Trump is also responsible for overturning Roe v Wade as it only happened thanks to the three pro-life judges he appointed.
Regardless of whether Trump or RDS wins the primary, either one will be getting hit really hard as being an extremist on abortion.
The difference is that Trump has additional baggage with J6, "stop the steal" and his negative temperament.
The electability advantage for DeSantis still remains.
AZ was decided by one city. One city alone crushed the rest of the state. GA has several of those. This abortion bill is going to rile more than you think. More babies are being born, but that also means unwanted pregnancies, birth defects, high risk pregnancies, miscarriages, and other things where abortion is called into play are going up. Yes, the majority of abortions are from useless whores, but women don't vote based upon rationality and facts.
My response was not DeSantis v. Trump, it was DeSantis vs Cup of Water (D). Everyone knows people will vote for Trump if he wins the nomination, no matter his stance on abortion. DeSantis doesn't have that base, he has to win on the issues.
I respectfully disagree with this take. Trump's baggage of J6 and his temperament hurts him with independents in even GA and AZ.
Ron's biggest problem will be WI.
Brian Kemp beat Stacy Abrams in GA handily even after pushing a 6 week heartbeat bill.
GA is also literally geographically adjacent to Florida.
I am honestly not too worried for DeSantis' prospects in GA since only one statewide candidate in 2022 lost GA and that was shitty Herschel Walker.
Kimberly Yee and Tom Horne both won statewide races in AZ despite both openly professing support for pro-life values. The rest of the statewide ticket was abrasive Kari Lake, unhinged Mark Finchem, awkward Blake Masters and Abe Hamadeh who lost barely. I really feel bad for Hamadeh as he was so close to winning and he is a good guy. I have much less sympathy for Kari Lake and Finchem who continue to grift and rave like lunatics. Masters should have run for a house seat since he was too inexperienced to win a statewide race.
Arizona is not unwinnable for Ron.
Winning AZ will be a bit harder than GA but still very doable.
Wisconsin is the only real tough state for him.
Rust belt voters are secular blue collar voters who somehow deeply value abortion.
I personally despise rust belt voters for having the dumbest set of preferences. They are leftish on Social Security/Medicare, don't care too much about gun rights but they still love abortion. These people massively irk me.
The truth remains that any voter who cares about "muh abortion" is never voting for any one of our candidates.
And this is going to kill any future he has as a presidential candidate.
6 weeks is within the time of 'am I pregnant' and 'wait, did I miss it this month?' because a lot of women have irregular periods for different reasons.
Political expedience > morality is exactly how we're in such a shit situation right now.
The bill doesn't kill his future as abortion bans are only seen pretty unfavorably in ONE of the states he needs to win. It is just Wisconsin which got tougher.
For AZ and GA, being hardcore pro-life is not really a big detriment.
Remember Trump is also responsible for overturning Roe v Wade as it only happened thanks to the three pro-life judges he appointed.
Regardless of whether Trump or RDS wins the primary, either one will be getting hit really hard as being an extremist on abortion.
The difference is that Trump has additional baggage with J6, "stop the steal" and his negative temperament.
The electability advantage for DeSantis still remains.
AZ was decided by one city. One city alone crushed the rest of the state. GA has several of those. This abortion bill is going to rile more than you think. More babies are being born, but that also means unwanted pregnancies, birth defects, high risk pregnancies, miscarriages, and other things where abortion is called into play are going up. Yes, the majority of abortions are from useless whores, but women don't vote based upon rationality and facts.
My response was not DeSantis v. Trump, it was DeSantis vs Cup of Water (D). Everyone knows people will vote for Trump if he wins the nomination, no matter his stance on abortion. DeSantis doesn't have that base, he has to win on the issues.
I respectfully disagree with this take. Trump's baggage of J6 and his temperament hurts him with independents in even GA and AZ.
Ron's biggest problem will be WI.
Brian Kemp beat Stacy Abrams in GA handily even after pushing a 6 week heartbeat bill.
GA is also literally geographically adjacent to Florida.
I am honestly not too worried for DeSantis' prospects in GA since only one statewide candidate in 2022 lost GA and that was shitty Herschel Walker.
Kimberly Yee and Tom Horne both won statewide races in AZ despite both openly professing support for pro-life values. The rest of the statewide ticket was abrasive Kari Lake, unhinged Mark Finchem, awkward Blake Masters and Abe Hamadeh who lost barely. I really feel bad for Hamadeh as he was so close to winning and he is a good guy. I have much less sympathy for Kari Lake and Finchem who continue to grift and rave like lunatics. Masters should have run for a house seat since he was too inexperienced to win a statewide race.
Arizona is not unwinnable for Ron.
Winning AZ will be a bit harder than GA but still very doable.
Wisconsin is the only real tough state for him.
Rust belt voters are secular blue collar voters who somehow deeply value abortion.
I personally despise rust belt voters for having the dumbest set of preferences. They are leftish on Social Security/Medicare, don't care too much about gun rights but they still love abortion. These people massively irk me.
The truth remains that any voter who cares about "muh abortion" is never voting for any one of our candidates.
We will see what happens in 2024.