Was it a bluff? Was it real? We will never know because he ended up the nominee in 2016.
Is it worth risking? I guess if you think that Trump will definitely lose. But isn't that just what you want to believe? Because you haven't been exactly positive on Trump.
At this point in time, I think Trump has no good shot of winning a general election.
According to Predictit, Trump has a 38% chance to win the nomination, and a 26% chance to win the general. So that's a 2-1 chance if he gets the nomination. And you can earn a lot of money if you are that confident.
Trump loses the nomination and just rants on Truth social and somehow DeSantis ekes out a win.
You seem very pessimistic in general. I guess that's better than some other people who claim that DeSantis will score a 49-state landslide.
Is it worth risking? I guess if you think that Trump will definitely lose. But isn't that just what you want to believe? Because you haven't been exactly positive on Trump.
https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7456/Who-will-win-the-2024-US-presidential-election
According to Predictit, Trump has a 38% chance to win the nomination, and a 26% chance to win the general. So that's a 2-1 chance if he gets the nomination. And you can earn a lot of money if you are that confident.
You seem very pessimistic in general. I guess that's better than some other people who claim that DeSantis will score a 49-state landslide.