Do I know or claim to know everything, no. If I did I'd probably be dead in an alley in a 'mugging gone wrong' where they leave my wallet or become this world's Jigsaw.
Point is though, with the different backgrounds and people we have on here, I think we can build up a picture of globally, where each part of the world currently stands, what are the current patterns and what might be an opportunity or an impending issue.
I am going to put on here 'lack information' when I don't have enough knowledge to work on personally. This is my impressions from all the information I have seen so if you want to add or disagree feel free to.
North America Canada: If is hasn't already fallen off the cliff, it's hanging on by it's fingertips. Euthanasia ads, targeting of private bank accounts, the failure to remove the current government despite it's actions during lockdowns in a recent election, my hopes for Canada coming back are extremely slim.
US: the recent Kari Lake lawsuit have shown how far the establishment will corrupt the election process to maintain power, and how much GOP establishment will scorch their own party to maintain their personal control. I'm seeing bulkanization as a really high possibility as red states still in control move to reduce federal control and be more independent/allying with fellow morally and aligned states. There is a possibility of civil war but the likely starting point will be a red state refusing to comply with federal orders, the federal institutions trying to use force to get compliance and the state defending itself.
Mexico: not enough information but the continuing flood of migrants into the US means that the revolution they need to reorganise the country into something productive won't happen so long as this release valve is open.
South America: Lack information but recent events in Brazil and elections show that the lefts infiltration is at a institutional level but not at a populous or military level.
Europe: UK: ok this one is a weird mix. On the one hand, DEEP infiltration on establishment, police, media and even military command by the left. On the other, they hold not much to no sway on monarchy (they tried hard after Queen's death but Charles is seeming to take his lead from how his mother ruled) and even less of the population actually respects their authority. There is a growing power vacuum happening as it seems like no institution holds true control.
Wrstern Europe: There has been a mass effort to disenfranchise voters by making them not want to vote instead of the US's route of actively screwing with the elections. This has meant that when voters DO turn out, it can cause big changes. The results of constant migration has weakened support for the left for all non-brainwashed and the growing resentment is also weakening support for the EU as it is slowly dying being proped up by global interests.
Eastern Europe: The war in Ukraine has eased in more leftist infiltration under the guise of defence support but the overt pushes by the EU to force their 'morality' over their sovereignty is getting increased pushback
Russia: the current war has highlighted the technological disadvantage Russia has against the West and the need for after this War to reorganise and restructure their military. Outside of that, they are not in the worst position. The west's isolation strategy has backfired as Russia has the raw materials to maintain itself and has cut off the leftist brainwashing propaganda. Not just that but the 'everyone opposes you strategy' has probably solidified support for Putin in a siege mentality.
Africa: Lack information for clear picture but the fact many nations told the US to fuck off not buying grain from Russia implies they have too many issues to be anythng but pragmatic.
Middle East: lack information for full picture but Opec countries siding more with Russia over oil shows either A) they know Russia long term is the best bet and/or B) that the West's green agenda while on paper would greatly hurt them, in reality is maiming themselves so taking advantage to apply pressure for more gains in the future.
India: Lack information for full picture, only fragmented assumptions
Asia: lack information but on two major players
China: seems history repeats itself with the Covid 0 policy. It's internally crippling the country and while it might have started as an excuse to solidify power to remove people under 'health concerns', it's backfiring HARD as the power structure in China has never incentivised giving accurate information, rather for governors to lie to the central authorities to save their own skins. There is a collapse on the way and hopefully it means China cannot attack Taiwan otherwise it might end up like the Falklands War.
Japan: In a weird state as they have always been slow to adopt and even slower to get rid of it. An example of this is covid policy as it seems a mismatch of there's no official policy but some businesses acting like it's still policy. A small light into something promising is when Elon took over Twitter and their trending feeds immediately was full of Anime, Manga and Jpop. This MIGHT show that leftist infiltration was not embedded enough and without constant pushing is easily forgotten. If more of these western pushes can be shut down then all Japan needs to focus on is their birthrates (which might be more reliant on work culture) and can easily be a heavy hitter again.
Oceania:
Australia: have gone largely authoritarian, not to the extent of Canada telling their population if they can't get up the stairs they should kill themselves but used covid as an excuse to turn the country back into a prison colony.
New Zealand: pretty much copying Australia though it can be argued thanks to the reduced population size being easier to monitor, even more restrictive.
Feel free to add as I only have a picture on certain places.
Most 'elections' do not matter in Western Europe since they're the same anyway. There was some progress on the ones that do. Le Pen went from 33% to 42% (though against a rather unpopular incumbent). Hopefully +9% next time too.
The Middle East is just hedging more, rather than siding one-sidedly with America. Particularly Saudi. Didn't they announce an increase in oil production after Biden agreed not to prosecute MBS (which would be ridiculous to begin with)?
China is not a tinpot dictatorship like Argentina. The question is not whether it 'can' or 'cannot' attack Taiwan. The question is whether it's better to do it now or 10 years from now. That will depend on nationalist consolidation in Taiwan and how much weapons the US supplies.
No but it has shown in the past that when it is struggling internally to be extremely weak to an hostile takeover. I don't think China can risk an outcome that isn't overwhelming victory and that isn't possible given how prepared Taiwan is (fortified aircraft bunkers, motorways designed to be used as runways in emergencies) and there is the risk it's imports can be blockaded by the US
There might be too much of a push NOT to do it but anytime they do it now after weakening themselves this much by covid 0 policy, it's going to be a massive self inflicted wound.